Epstein Secrets

0.0 - 0.5 1.2 Unless othenvaa noted. all metrics ate based on Morgan Stanley ModetWare framework (please see explanabon later in Ills note) § a Consensus data is provided by Thomson Reuters Estrne: a a Morgan Stanley Research estimates Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies cove

N STANLEY RESEARCH NORTH AMERICA 7.1;r4.-.713er Jey e C.; _LC. Matthew Harrison • David Friedman. M. Key Ratios and Statistics Reuters: GILD.O Bloomberg: GILD US Biotechnology / United Stales of America Shr price. close (Jul 23. 2014) $90.34 Mkt cap. curt (mm) $152.143 62-Week Range $90.74-55.9

0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Unless othenwse noted. all meek, are based on Morgan Stanley MoelelWare framework (please see explanabon later in this note). § a Consensus dela es provided by Thomson Reuters Estenales. e a Morgan Steely/ Research oslimalas Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies c

owing cash. PAORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH NORTH AMERICA _LC Matthew Harrison r12 714 62:» David Friedman, Key Ratios and Statistics Reuters: BUB.0 Bloomberg: BIIB US Biotechnology / United Stales of America Shr price. close (Jul 22. 2014) $303.67 Mkt cap. curt (mm) $72.313 52-Week Range 5358.89-203

l GDP Growth (IMF data and forecasts) -1 0 1 2 EFTA01476160 3 4 5 6 7 % yoy 2011 forecast 2012 forecast 2013 forecast 2014 forecast Consensus 2015 forecast % yoy 2015 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Source: IMF, Deutsche Bank Research Page 67 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997

est *Prices are current as of the end of the previous trading session unless otherwise indicated and are sourced from local exchanges via Reuters, Bloomberg and other vendors . Other information is sourced from Deutsche Bank, subject companies, and other sources. For disclosures pertaining to recommend

2016 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Bankof America Merrill Lynch Global Rates, FX & E

recommend outright long duration positions in US rates at present given that the sharp election-induced selloff could extend over the coming weeks. Consensus expects rising inflation Instead, we focus on contrarian views regarding the outlook for inflation, which underpinned some of short rates positionin