Epstein Secrets

6 013US8RTE (Reasonable PE Tech) • -10.1% Telecommunication Services 2.0% Consumer 8.6% Consumer Staples 3.7% Consumer Discretionary 12.5% Health Care 4.8% Consumer Staples 3.7% Information Technology 8.2% Dividend Growth 4.9% Domestic tyclicals 5.9% Financials 1.1% Consumer Discretionar

nary 12.5% Financials 1.1% Energy -13.1% Energy -13.1% Financials 1.1% Capex 4.7% Industrials 0.2% Industrials 0.2% Materials -4.5% Energy Equipment & Services -11.6% Defensives 3.0% Information Technology 8.2% Utilities -6.116 013US8RTE (Reasonable PE Tech) • -10.1% Telecommunication Services 2.0

-4.6% DBUSBRTE (Reasonable PE Tech) -6.0% Telecommunication Services 6.1% Consumer 4.8% Consumer Staples 2.3% Consumer Discretionary 6.8% Health Care 10.1% Consumer Staples 2.3% Information Technology 5.4% Dividend Growth 3.5% Domestic Cyclicals 3.6% Financials 1.2% Consumer Discretiona

cretionary 6.8% Financials 1.2% Energy 0.3% Energy 0.3% Financials 1.2% Capes 3.9% Industrials 1.3% Industrials 1.3% Materials 5.3% Energy Equipment & Services 3.8% Defensives 5.6% Information Technology 5.4% Utilities -4.6% DBUSBRTE (Reasonable PE Tech) -6.0% Telecommunication Services 6.1% Cons

5% share shrink. Ex. Energy & Financials, as much less y/y litigation expense at Banks, 2015 S&P EPS was up 6% or 10% ex. 4% FX drag. Growth led by Health Care and big consumer oriented Tech firms. We expect growth to slow at these two S&P segments, but remain key growth drivers. II2016E S&P EPS of $125 i

to PE of DB Indus t ry a lloca t ions S&P 500 Index Source: Deutsche Bank Research, IBES Overweight 15.6 14.8 2049.62 Equa lweight 17.6 16.6 Energy Equipment & Services Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels Underweight 2015 & 2016 DB St ra tegy EPS 119.0 125.0 2015 & 2016 DB St ra tegy PE Bot tom-up Cons . EPS 118.4 128.1

TES, ON). For screening purpose, our over-weight industries for mid and small caps are all industries in Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Tech. DB Analyst 16% Paul Ginocchio, CFA 72% Nandan Amladi 28% 30% 15% Alan Hellawell Paul Trussell George Hill 16% Gunnar Romer 23%

9.9% -4.5% 8.2% -3.6% -13.1% 1.1% 6.8% 12.5% 0.2% 6.8% 4.8% 8.2% 1.0% Credit vs. Commodity Play Financials Energy Capex Industrials Energy Equipment & Services Information Technology DBUSBRTE (Reasonable PE Tech) * Consumer Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Dividend Growth Financials Informatio