Epstein Secrets

deserves a larger premium. ¢ We continue to like Healthcare as it offers solid long-term earnings prospects w

taples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials 7 aterials Telecom Utilities Vielvi Viel ule; ulale Source

FX is ELMI+ in $. 16 2.0% Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 S&P 500 Sector Performance Utilities 14.8% Consumer Staples 10.5% Health Care 10.2% Consumer Discretionary 4.4% Energy 2.8% Information Technology 1.3% Telecommunication Services 0.8% S&P 500 0.0% Industrials -2.9%

tios are at Historic Lows Jan-10 Apr-10 Source: Bloomberg, As of 1/4/12 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 9 Utilities, Healthcare, Telecom I Financials, Materials, Industrials Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049751 EFTA02696373 Tactical Opportunities Tactical Trading Opportunities <N

tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ subsidiaries at reduced rates. Non-Financials in the S&P hold at least $1.2tn in overseas cash (mostly Tech and Health Care). If half was used for buybacks, this could add 3% ($4) to S&P 500 EPS. A redux of 2004 where companies used 80% of cash for buybacks may be less lik

r EPS estimated impact from 20% rate 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Financials Discretionary Telecom Staples Industrials Health Care Energy Materials Info Tech Real Estate Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, FactSet, S&P While the effective tax rate of the S&P 500 is generally about 28% (cu