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Austria 6.8 7.9 9.4 8.3 9.5 9.4 9.5 Belgium 6.4 12.9 15.8 13.4 14.0 12.1 12.2 Canada 5.8 10.5 11.5 14.7 13.1 12.3 10.8 Chile Czech Republic 4.4 4.2 3.6 Denmark 12.7 21.4 23.4 24.8 25.6 25.3 24.3 Estonia 6.8 5.8 5.4 Finland 10.1 14.1 14.9 15.2 14.5 13.0 12.6 France
80s, the thinking on taxation underwent an important shift in the context of market-oriented policy reforms enshrined in the so-called Washing- ton Consensus. The prescription was that a broad- based low tax rate model — Development Tax Model 2.0 — was the most appropriate for developing and developed co
s Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates Asia (ex-Ja
l GDP Growth (IMF data and forecasts) -1 0 1 2 EFTA01476160 3 4 5 6 7 % yoy 2011 forecast 2012 forecast 2013 forecast 2014 forecast Consensus 2015 forecast % yoy 2015 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Source: IMF, Deutsche Bank Research Page 67 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997
recommend outright long duration positions in US rates at present given that the sharp election-induced selloff could extend over the coming weeks. Consensus expects rising inflation Instead, we focus on contrarian views regarding the outlook for inflation, which underpinned some of short rates positionin
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014753 →stress may bring opportunities to buy dips. CEE capitalized the past five year much better, with fiscal consolidation in Hungary, balanced budget in Czech Republic, and low debt/GDP ratios in Poland. Also, the growth picture is much more rosy, making leverage much more manageable. Trade recommendation: Buy 50y
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014775 →Entities connected to both Czech Republic and Consensus

Hungary
LOCATION
Denmark
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Finland
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Norway
LOCATION
Romania
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
United States
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Malaysia
LOCATION
New Zealand
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSON
Columbia University
LOCATIONCayman
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATIONDoug Band
PERSON
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION