Epstein Secrets

These ideas include recent research in market microstructure, liquidity, post-Keynesian pricing theory as well as the work of Foley, Keen, Smithers, Shiller, Cooper, Pettis, Pepper & Oliver, Mehrling, Lyons and others. Neoclassical economics, while forming an intellectually beautiful framework, has prov

tly following the dramatic changes in value during the dotcom and housing booms of the last decade, and secondly because of the detailed research of Shiller, Smithers and others that both disprove a purely stochastic basis for stock market movements and also give substantial evidence for long term rever

negentropy created in the products of the firms. Essentially figures 1.3.5 to 1.3.7 bring together the economic and physical diagrams discussed in Ayres & Nair [Ayres & Nair 1984]; so that the circulation of wealth and money complies with the laws of physics as well as the laws of finance. The discussions o

hree factor' model. This then becomes much more significant at the level of the whole stockmarket, especially in the light of the extensive work by Shiller and Smithers regarding the long-term valuation of stock markets. This work is very well summed up in 'Wall Street Revalued' [Smithers 2009]. The ce

olio of investments. Interestingly, this should act in a strongly counter-cyclical manner. Given the mean reversion properties of the market as per Shiller and Smithers, liquidity protection of this type should be cheap at historical liquidity lows, but increasingly expensive as liquidity bubbles formed

ropy, first proposed by Georgescu-Roegen have been treated as fundamental truths. Unfortunately these precepts are trivially mistaken. The paper of Ayres & Nair [Ayres & Nair 1984] provides a typical example. I have found this paper profoundly useful in guiding my ideas as to how to link the mathematics of e

ish to remain working in finance. They are obliged to adopt rules of thumb that work. Some of the more thoughtful financiers, people such as Pettis, Shiller, Smithers, Cooper, Pepper & Oliver have then made insightful attempts to explain why these rules of thumb work in practice. In the field of market

nsense. However the concept of absolute value is not nonsense, it is in fact very powerful. The concept of 'negentropy' as value, as articulated by Ayres & Nair [Ayres & Nair 1984] for example, is not just basic common sense; it works as a theoretical approach, as evidenced by the models in part A. Once the