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important contributor to US GDP growth. Growth has also begun to pick up in key areas of the emerging markets, including China and Brazil. While the Eurozone economy remains weak, we expect Q3 2012 to mark the bottom, and that growth will begin to get "less bad" from Q4 2012. Equities Equity markets have
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025250 →continue to tap the primary market if they ask for a support program? ¢ How much more support will Greece receive and will it be able to stay in the Eurozone next year? CIO View (Probability: 70%*) Austerity and weak growth ¢ We think the Eurozone economy troughed in 3Q. We expect flattish growth in 4Q 20
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025255 →ult; a Greek euro exit before the end of 2012; or a major external shock. Key dates TBD Troika report on Greece 8 Nov ECB press conference 12 Nov Eurogroup meeting 15 Nov Eurozone GDP 3Q: first estimate 22 Nov Eurozone composite purchasing managers index 22-23 Nov European Council 2 UBS Purchasing ma
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025255 →s softer as well, as is credit. German economy minister warns that there will be a 'noticeably weaker economic dynamic" over the next six months. A Eurozone official is out reiterating that a decision on Greece is unlikely on Monday & the Guardian suggests it is due to 'acute differences" between the IMF
its 28nm process DigiTimes Key Events Next Week Sunday: Greece budget vote in Parliament Monday: US Bond Market & Banks Closed for Veteran's Day, Eurogroup meeting in Brussels, William Blair Healthcare Conference, Earnings (DHI, JEC, CSOD) Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, Bofa Banking & Fin
<<Presentation Title>>
36 UBS Economy The successful formation of a Greek government after the June 17 elections has reduced the risk of an imminent Greek exit from the Eurozone. However, the Euro debt crisis persists, and further reform and consolidation efforts in Spain and Italy are needed. In the US, economic data weakene
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024138 →ortuguese default; a Greek euro exit; or a major external growth shock. Return to macro stability Key dates 5 July ECB press conference 9-10 July Eurogroup/ECOFIN-Meeting 24 July Eurozone purchasing manager indices (PMI), July estimates 36 UBS Bottoming in Eurozone leading indicators (PMI) in June? 6
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024143 →Entities connected to both Eurozone and Eurogroup

Barack Obama
PERSON
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Federal Reserve
ORGANIZATION
Luxembourg
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Malaysia
LOCATIONIke Groff
PERSON
Lesley Groff
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Barron
PERSON
Norway
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATIONthe Bank of Japan
ORGANIZATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATION
Western Europe
LOCATIONUtilities
ORGANIZATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Sydney
LOCATION