Epstein Secrets

ives were hitting record over bought signals with Financials and Cyclicals seeing the opposite. Against the ba

relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German

ritten that US corporates in aggregate (including Financials) hold ~$2tn in cash overseas, and their work sugg

ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te

N s+ ico} [o>} Lop} 12>} Lo>} Lop} Q Q Q OQ OQ = =— mm = Oo Oo oO Oo Oo Qo Qo Q QoQ Q Q Q Q ~~ — ~~ _ = —N N N N N N N N N 0 85 25885852825 mum Tech (MO Financials oo nk? i > > > 2 > = ~~ ) Discretionary (QW Industrials TONNE NNN NN NN i Staples GE Energy ems |_argest sector weight in the S&P500 = === Current =

SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a