Epstein Secrets

mberg European equities: switch to outright long Healthcare We switch our European sector pair trade preferr

16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0

higher oil would make Oil’s high DY sustainable. Healthcare is too cheap vs an improving sector growth outloo

relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German

tax of overseas earnings of US firms’ subsidiaries at reduced rates. Non-Financials in the S&P hold at least $1.2tn in overseas cash (mostly Tech and Health Care). If half was used for buybacks, this could add 3% ($4) to S&P 500 EPS. A redux of 2004 where companies used 80% of cash for buybacks may be less lik

ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te