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800 1000 1200 0 2011 2012 2013 Base case 2014 2015E 2016E Risk case Note: *Mkt cap weighted BHPB, Rio, Barrick, Freeport, Alcoa, Norilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Bloomberg Fi
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 2011 2012 2013 Base case 2014 2015E 2016E Risk case Note: *Mkt cap weighted BHPB, Rio, Barrick, Freeport, Alcoa, Norilsk, Alcoa, Glencore, Southern Copper, Anglo American and Vale Source: Deutsche Bank Research, Company reports, Source: Deutsche Bank Resear
utive Officer Chairman Chair and President Chairman Executive Chairman Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Chairman Khazanah Nasional Berhad Malaysia International Monetary Fund (IMF) The Sunday Telegraph The Uncultured Project LightSquared Holcim Ltd Dogus Group Consolidated Contractors C
or and Political Commentator Vice-President, Intel Capital and Managing Director Senior Editor-at-Large President Group Chief Financial Officer. Alcoa Global Rolled Products Chairman of the Board and Managing Officer Chief Executive Officer Chief Executive Officer Executive Chairman Albert L.
d Arab Emirates Abdel-Wadood Rafik Ben Minister of Foreign Affairs of Tunisia Abdessalem Mohd Razali Abdul Chairman Peremba Group of Companies Malaysia Rahman Khalid Honorary Chairman Vision 3 United Arab Emirates Abdulla-Janahi Abdullah II Ibn Al King of the Hashemite Kingdom of Hussein Jo
and Chief Executive Officer Director Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary, Permanent Representative of Latvia Executive Vice-President, Alcoa, and Group President, Engineered Products and Solutions Professor Acting Chief Executive Officer Founder and Executive Director Chief Executive
2017 to be about the same as the last couple of years. There may be further slowing of China, but India and Indonesia could see growth accelerate, Malaysia and the Philippines could maintain trend growth, and the rest of Asia could see less disappointment. Indeed, our forecast for the next two years as
s taken the industry lead in the base metals, with cuts of 500kt in mined zinc (c.3.5% of the market) and copper (c.2% of the market). In aluminium Alcoa announced cuts of 500kt (1% of global supply), but we think more cuts from China is needed to be truly effective. More recently, Chinese smelters
Entities connected to both Malaysia and Alcoa

Jeffrey Epstein
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New Zealand
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Philippines
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Bloomberg L.P.
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George W. Bush
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Barack Obama
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Vietnam
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Columbia University
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Chile
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