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in this report are not registered credit rating agencies in Japan unless 'Japan' or 'Nippon' is specifically designated in the name of the entity. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securiti
er Research Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Richard Smith and Steve Pollard Co-Global Heads Equity Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Mia Pacific Research International Locations Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research. Germany Andreas Neubauer Regio
in this report are not registered credit rating agencies in Japan unless "Japan" or "Nippon" is specifically designated in the name of the entity. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securiti
er Research Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Richard Smith and Steve Pollard Co-Global Heads Equity Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International Locations Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research, Germany Andreas Neubauer Regi
ified by DSI. Some of the foreign securities stated on this report are not disclosed according to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law of Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securit
3329 David Folkerts-Landau Group Chief Economist Member of the Group Executive Committee Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets
DSI. Some of the foreign securities stated on this report are not disclosed according to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law of Japan. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securit
3352 David Folkerts-Landau Group Chief Economist Member of the Group Executive Committee Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets
DSI. Some of the foreign securities stated on this report are not disclosed according to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law of Japan. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securit
3408 David Folkerts-Landau Group Chief Economist Member of the Group Executive Committee Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets
eserves • 1996 ■ 2015 300 250 200 150 100 50 o CH I I EN • IN ID MY PH SK Sources Fowl flat* Oath Raamrol However, Indonesia and Malaysia stand out has having relatively high external financing burdens, and in Malaysia's case it is higher than it was as that country entered 1997. This
itor - devalues again (and that is not our expectation), it will likely have serious repercussions on currency values and asset prices everywhere. Michael Spencer, Hong Kong (+852 22038305) • TWN TH Page 6 Deutsche Bank AG/Hong Kong CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0118095 CONFIDE
land Romania Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates Asia (ex-Japan) China Hong Kong India Indonesia Korea Malaysia Philippines Singapore Sri Lanka EFTA01476183 Taiwan Thailand Vietnam Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Venezu
G/London Page 77 EFTA01476241 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Contacts Name Coverage David Folkerts-Landau Michael Spencer Economics Peter Hooper Torsten Slok Joe LaVorgna Mark Wall Stefan Schneider Mikihiro Matsuoka Michael Spencer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero
by DSI. Some of the foreign securities stated on this report are not disclosed according to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Law of Japan. Malaysia: Deutsche Bank AG and/or its affiliate(s) may maintain positions in the securities referred to herein and may from time to time offer those securit
Page 51 EFTA01476552 David Folkerts-Landau Chief Economist and Global Head of Research Raj Hindocha Global Chief Operating Officer Research Michael Spencer Regional Head Asia Pacific Research International locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Level 16 Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets
preciated 28 India — range bound until post-election outlook clearer 29 Indonesia — first stress test since 1997; equities expensive 31 Malaysia — low-beta but fundamentally without merit 33 Thailand — tempting only to a tactical contrarian 34 Philippines — superior fundamentals more
hout the broader economy (Figure 32 and Figure 33). So far this appears to be working — most economists, including DB's own senior Asian economist, Michael Spencer, now acknowledge the extent to which the incremental capital to output ratio (ICOR) has deteriorated since the financial crisis, as the Chinese au
Entities connected to both Malaysia and Michael Spencer

New Zealand
LOCATION
Philippines
LOCATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Deutsche Bank
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Tokyo
LOCATION
Columbia University
LOCATION
Chile
LOCATION
Hungary
LOCATION
Sydney
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Norway
LOCATIONAndreas Neubauer
PERSON
Hong Kong
LOCATIONSteve Pollard
PERSONDavid Folkerts-Landau
PERSON
Moody's
ORGANIZATION
Denmark
LOCATION