Epstein Secrets

Year Average Yield Weighted Average Treasury Yields (%) 0% . T T T T T T T T T T 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 KP Source: US Treasury. i USA Inc. | Income Statement Drilldown 165 Effective Interest Rates: If Debt Levels & Interest Rates Rise Dramatically Beyond 2010, Net Interest

s Helped Fuel It, Too, as They Reached For Yield Without Questioning AAA Ratings of A Subprime-Backed Investments Investors picked up 25-35bps over U.S. Treasuries with comparable maturity, typically levered 10:1 and generated 2.5-3.5% yield, meaningful against an 8% annual yield target Illustrative AAA-Rated S

Consider Review Tax Rates Changing MEE Reduce Subsidies / Tax Expenditures*/ eee Broaden Tax Base Note: *Tax subsidies / expenditures are losses to the U.S. Treasury from granting certain deductions, exemptions, or credits (such i as those on mortgage interest payments and employer-sponsored health insurance payme

nts to 7% in 2009 from 9% in 2000, while government employee union membership rate rose 50 basis points 37.4% in 2009 from 36.9% in 2000. KP Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 343 Review Unions: Union Membership Rates by Industry — Government = 37% Unionize

tations of higher taxes in the long run (e.g., Ricardian equivalence). Statutory debt limit and debt subject to limit Trillions of gross debt, USD 18 US Treasury: raiding the cookie jar Billions, USD 300 Gross debt/GDP 109% 16 250 Proposed increase 99% 200 14 - 12 - Debt limit 86% 78% 87% 150 69% 73% 100 10 68

goods from China, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam, percent 25% • 2005 • 2011E 20% - 15% 10% 5% 0% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1 2% 0% Taiwan Mexico China Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Empirical Research Partners. Philippines 2000 2007 2010 Source: UN Comtrade, Empirical Research Partners. To summarize, we expect today's margins to

t is the lesser of 2 problems Trillions, USD 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 Present value of unfunded entitlement obligations 30 20 10 Existing debt 0 Source: US Department of the Treasury, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Items on the table in discussions to reduce the deficit Revenue raises Spending cuts Carried interest taxed at Discretiona

Liabilities Minus Unfunded Entitlement Liabilities — Assets include cash & investments, taxes receivable, property, plant & equipment (as defined by Department of Treasury). — Liabilities include accounts payable, accrued payroll & benefits, federal debt, federal employee & veteran benefits payable... — Unfunded Entitle

966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 KP Note: Fiscal year ends in September. Source: White House Office of Management & Budget, Bureau of Labor Statistics. a USA Inc. | Income Statement Drilldown 124 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020903 Unemployment Benefits: Good News—Unemployment Change In the Past Has Strong (7

cation technology, due to the methodology used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the BEA. If the price indices do not ad

Institution has called the “fiscal fights of the Obama administration.” The first fiscal fight resulted in the Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgrade of US Treasury debt in August 2011. The equity markets, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, dropped about 19% between April and October of 2011. Taken together, the

ules.28 Mayo concerned in part the question of how much deference a Treasury Department tax regulation should receive. In Mayo, an amicus argued that the Treasury Department’s interpretation should receive less deference because it was issued under a general grant of rulemaking authority, as opposed to an interpretation iss

se without readily available sources of reliable information on these provisions. 80 See, e.g., comment of Desert Terrace Healthcare Center. 81 See Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic News Release, Table B—1, “Employees on nonfarm payrolls by industry sector and selected industry detail,” May 3, 2011 (seasonally adjusted