Epstein Secrets

ECB exit and higher US Treasury yields leading to less demand from abroad for US IG S billion 30 - 20 - 10 - 0 -10 -20 - -30 I When ECB put interest rates negative in 2014

f US corporate bonds ...with ECB signaling OE exit foreigners are now net sellers of US credit 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Source: Treasury, Haver Analytics, O5 Global Research a S billion - 30 - 25 - 20 15 10 05 - -5 - -10 Deutsche Bank Research Tram Stoic torsten.slokedb.com +1 212250-2155

ECB exit and higher US Treasury yields leading to less demand from abroad for US IG S billion 30 - 20 - 10 - 0 -10 -20 - -30 I When ECB put interest rates negative in 2014

f US corporate bonds ...with ECB signaling OE exit foreigners are now net sellers of US credit 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Source: Treasury, Haver Analytics, O5 Global Research a S billion - 30 - 25 - 20 15 10 05 - -5 - -10 Deutsche Bank Research Tram Stoic torsten.slokedb.com +1 212250-2155

balance is on a recovery path over the last one year Figure 2: as non-treasury portfolio outflows have turned positive Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Figure 3: The private basis balance has been diverging from the overall balance Figure 4: as official infl

ted with private inflows since the late 1990s Figure 6: Relative to the private basic balance, the dollar is expensive Source: DB FX Research and Haver Analytics Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 25 EFTA01464356 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the

Liabilities Minus Unfunded Entitlement Liabilities — Assets include cash & investments, taxes receivable, property, plant & equipment (as defined by Department of Treasury). — Liabilities include accounts payable, accrued payroll & benefits, federal debt, federal employee & veteran benefits payable... — Unfunded Entitle

0 1995 Note: Housing includes purchase, rent and home improvement. Government savings occur when government runs a surplus. Ta Source: BEA, CMS via Haver Analytics. < kpcb.com USA Inc. | Summary CB www.kpcb.com USA Inc. xvii HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020840 With these trends, USA Inc. will not be immune to the sudden c

the future. Correlation 0.25 0.20 5 015 4 014 0.10 - 0.05 - 0.00 Since 1957 Since 1970 Data through 03 2016. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Haver Analytics, Olivier Blanchard, “Three Remarks About the US Treasury Yield Curve,” Peterson Institute for International Economics, June 22, 2016. We have examin

Institution has called the “fiscal fights of the Obama administration.” The first fiscal fight resulted in the Standard and Poor’s (S&P) downgrade of US Treasury debt in August 2011. The equity markets, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, dropped about 19% between April and October of 2011. Taken together, the