relevant, because "'circumstantial evidence is not less probative than direct evidence, and, in some cases is even more reliable."' United States v. Ranum, 96 F.3d 1020, 1026 (7th Cir. 1996) (quoting United States v. Hatchett, 31 F.3d 1411, 1421 (7th Cir. 1994 )). For all these reasons, the Court sho