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perspective and then owning outright thereafter. And =iven how you and Jeffrey have more flexibility (you don't answer to =utside investors), since Le Pen seems a low risk, you might be willing =o be more aggressive. Investors are underweight Europe overall and =ithin Europe, underweight European bank
or use of the contents thereof are prohibited. There may =e more recent information available. Please visit one of the electronic venues that carry BofA Merrill Lynch Global =esearch reports or contact your Bank of America Merrill Lynch =epresentative or Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management representative =or further
Investment Strategy
urope, especially France and Germany. Because of the winner takes all system in France we find investors are more concerned with the situation there. Marine Le Pen and the Front National look likely to make it to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investors will be cautious about European markets. A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both. That in turn has arg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →art, or in any form or manner, without and client websites and other portals by BofA review of this research report consti (including any investmen BofA Merrill Lynch Global hould consult their ow ny BofA Merrill Lynch en n public information. Fac pa | ities. None of MLPF&S, any of i Research policy prohibits rese conta
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014458 →rtionate to index weights 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 — 2% —<0% 4 0.5 1 1.5 2 Source: Eurostat, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Source: Eurostat, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Core inflation at 0.8% is barely above the 2015 low of 0.6%. One statistic that often
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014744 →rate cut. The risk to this view is if tail risk scenarios unfold in European politics, such as an early election in Italy with Five Star winning, or Le Pen wining the second round in the French elections. Although we expect markets to be more concerned about European politics following the US elections,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014747 →ut it earlier if Renzi loses the referendum. The 2017 French election is another concern. President of the far-right party and presidential candidate Marine Le Pen is ahead in the polls to win the first round. Winning the second round is much more difficult, as she will need more than 50% of the votes, but inves
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014754 →Entities connected to both Marine Le Pen and BofA Merrill Lynch Global

Donald Trump
PERSON
Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Paul Ryan
PERSONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION
Comisién Nacional de Valores
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION