Epstein Secrets

n politics. Will Europe follow the route to populism (revolt from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets by the end of 2017 from a Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the Euro area’s two largest economies. We think investors will demand a higher risk premium until the French Elections in May

perspective. Financials are now trading around median relative valuation levels. Healthcare PE relative is at the bottom of the historical range and Utilities relative PE is also close to the prior low hit in 2013. Food & Beverage still commands a large premium and PE- relative is 6-10% above the 2010 / 201

est political risk event for European (and possibly global) equity markets in 2017. By 22 October 2017: German Federal elections Current Chancellor Angela Merkel has announced that she intends to stand for re- election. Current polls have Merkel’s CDU ahead followed by SDP with the euro- sceptic Alternative fu

some attention in the press (note CS is still the highest rated IB in the world & a 2-notch cut for MS was consensus despite fears of 3). Hollande, Merkel, Rajoy & Monti meeting in Rome today ahead of the key EU Summit next week and the proposal to allow the EFSF/ESM to buy peripheral sovereign debt w

China 7-day repurchase rate +98 bps yesterday (gauge of funding availability in the system) Leading European Sectors: Telco +0.88%, Banks +0.56%, Utilities +0.52% Lagging European Sectors: Chemicals -1.74%, Oil & Gas -1.47%, Basic Res -1.26% CPWM Gabelli 13D - R guides lower - ABTL reverse 1-for-5 spli

ities FT • US corporate bonds — yield of dreams Lex • Obama — beyond the fiscal cliff Lex • Wall St alarm as Obama faces gridlock The Times • Merkel warns David Cameron over talk of EU exit The Times • The Bankia banker who 'didn't understand anything' The Times • 'Build ring-fences or we will

7.3% in Q2 vs est 6.7%) Leading European Sectors: Luxury +0.97%, Chemicals +0.60%, Industrials +0.59% Lagging European Sectors: Autos/Parts -0.57%, Utilities -0.36%, Construction -0.28% MAKO cuts procedure forecast — CXW lowers guidance — NVLT earnings miss AAN names pres/ceo chairman — ITMN positive gui

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ll for now. The greatest political tests for Europe next year come from the refugee and terror crises. The conservative backlash in Germany against Merkel's initial welcoming is very gradually narrowing differences across countries on how best to address the refugee wave. The new terror dimension to t

strials remain a significant concern. Most of the rest of the market, both the S&P and the Russell 2000, seems fully valued except a few big Banks, Utilities, Airlines, and some of our specific stock picks. We do not believe that a recession looms or that S&P profits will fall again in 2016. We also do