Epstein Secrets

ancial markets. Our central case is that centre right President is elected in France (with Francois Fillon now the official Republican candidate) and Merkel is returned at the head of a coalition government in Germany. Chart 19: German polls show a consistent lead for Merkel’s CDU party Chart 20: Fillon

ential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Our central case is that centre right President is elected in France (with Francois Fillon now the official Republican candidate) and Merkel is returned at the head of a coalition government in Germany. Chart 19: German polls show a consis

extremist parties win enough support to break away from the European Union? In France, for example, upcoming elections in May 2017 are likely to pit Francois Fillon of Les Républicains against Marine Le Pen of the far right Front National. Le Pen has promised a referendum on whether France should stay in the Euro

” Second, to what extent will the rise of populism influence policies in the Eurozone? Here, Germany will probably provide a litmus test. Chancellor Angela Merkel and her coalition government are likely to respond to recent terrorist attacks there by proposing a stronger police and military presence, according

rorist suspects have already been arrested among them.°* With German elections scheduled for September 2017, it remains to be seen whether Chancellor Merkel will adjust her immigration policy. 28 | Goldman Sachs | JANUARY 2017 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014561 --- PAGE BREAK --- While populism is on the rise and

for September 2017, it remains to be seen whether Chancellor Merkel will adjust her immigration policy. 28 | Goldman

n politics. Will Europe follow the route to populism (revolt from the voters) or will we find relief for the markets by the end of 2017 from a Fillon/Merkel duo being in charge of the Euro area’s two largest economies. We think investors will demand a higher risk premium until the French Elections in May

ential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Our central case is that centre right President is elected in France (with Francois Fillon now the official Republican candidate) and Merkel is returned at the head of a coalition government in Germany now that she has indicated she will st

est political risk event for European (and possibly global) equity markets in 2017. By 22 October 2017: German Federal elections Current Chancellor Angela Merkel has announced that she intends to stand for re- election. Current polls have Merkel’s CDU ahead followed by SDP with the euro- sceptic Alternative fu