3
Shared Docs
1
Same-Page
3 / 5
Mentions
ast year, we highlighted increased allocations to North America, based on perceptions of the US as a ‘saf
rmore, liability sovereigns explained that if the eurozone were to disband, Germany's role as the financial
ain impact. North Korean Belligerence Continues: North Korea’s unpredictable and belligerent military ac
k 26 Pace of Federal Reserve Tightening 27 Low Expectations of a US Recession 28 29 30 30 31 33 Rising Influence of Populist Parties in the Eurozone Geopolitical Hot Spots Get Hotter Terrorism Escalates Cyberattacks Continue China Submerges Under Its Debt Burden and Capital Outflows US-China Re
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014537 →wth of 4.6%, aided by healthy domestic growth, and a particularly well-capitalized® banking sector that has a lower nonperforming loan ratio than the Eurozone bank average. Furthermore, Spain is unlikely to face the same political uncertainty as Germany, France and Italy in 2017. We expect high single-digit
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014558 →ropean banks. We prefer small-/mid-cap buyouts in North America given the better economic outlook vs. Eur
important contributor to US GDP growth. Growth has also begun to pick up in key areas of the emerging markets, including China and Brazil. While the Eurozone economy remains weak, we expect Q3 2012 to mark the bottom, and that growth will begin to get "less bad" from Q4 2012. Equities Equity markets have
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025250 →continue to tap the primary market if they ask for a support program? ¢ How much more support will Greece receive and will it be able to stay in the Eurozone next year? CIO View (Probability: 70%*) Austerity and weak growth ¢ We think the Eurozone economy troughed in 3Q. We expect flattish growth in 4Q 20
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025255 →Entities connected to both Norther and Eurozone

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSON
Donald Trump
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSON
North
LOCATION
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Federal Reserve
ORGANIZATION
Belgium
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Tehran
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Bill Clinton
PERSON
Joe Biden
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
Western Europe
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
Luxembourg
LOCATION