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9 2.7 3.6 .3.7 1 2.51 lag 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 9.9 10.0 10.0 11.0 Brawl 2.7 1.0 3.4 1.0 2.4 31 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.8 5.0 5.6 6.0 5.5 Chile 6.0 5.5 4.6 8.3 5.7 2.2 4.0 5.0 5.0 4.6 3.1 2.7 2.2 3.1 Colom0ia 5.9 3.2 1 4.0 1 5.3 -2.6 3.7 1 42 6.1 t 6.1 t 5.3 t 3.4 2
than trend shifts. • Last week, we raised our USD/JPY forecasts from a 2013 range of 75.85 to a range of 80-90. We have always been sceptical that the Bank of Japan would be able to drive up Japanese inflation and drive down real yields versus the US to power USD/JPY higher throughout 2013, but there is no deny
e appreciation of the yen, once again pushing the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ’s) 2% inflation target further into the futu
u of Labor Statistics BOE: Bank of England BOJ: Bank of Japan CAGR: compound annual growth rate CDS: credit de
iance on any statement or information contained herein. This presentation will not be issued, passed to, or made available to the public generally. Chile: Fecha de inicio de la oferta: (i} La presente oferta se acoge ala Norma de Caracter General N° 336 de la Superintendencia de Valores y Seguros de C
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014618 →75 70 65 60 55 50 1/1/2010 5/1/2011 8/4/2012 = 1/1/2014) 5/1/2015 = 9/1/2016 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research true against the JPY given the Bank of Japan is pegging 10y JGB yields at zero. We are cognizant of the possibility that the willingness of Japanese investors — who have already bought record am
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014734 →f a disorderly depreciation, as it has been already the case in the last few days with small interventions in the forward market. On the other hand, Chile’s growth remains anemic and the economy is expected to continue growing sub 2% in 2017 (Chart 71). The CLP is overvalued but recent flows Chart 70:
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014771 →lar to QE itself. Beyond that, this is another small step towards perceptions that monetary policy is no longer independent from fiscal policy, like the Bank of Japan’s joint statement with two government ministers last month. Nobody knows the tipping point at which these perceptions feed into much higher inflation e
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026573 →24 3.91 45 34 37 40 12 6.0 6.0 6.8 Argentina 89 27 3.6 24 -3.2 5.0 10.0 2.0 25 2.0 96 99 10.0 11.0 Brazil 27 14 4 0.5 6 48 46 3.8 40 43 6.7 5.0 55 56 Chile 6.0 54 45 51 71 3.0 40 40 5.0 5.0 40 3.1 25 3.1 Colombia 5.9 43 45 0.9 67 28 3.8 42 53 55 3.9 34 3.1 3.2 Ecuador 8.0 5.0 40 42 48 3.0 55 5.0 3.0 3.0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026577 →Entities connected to both Chile and the Bank of Japan

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