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Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
ith problems in Greece, Portugal and Ireland, if you include Spain, it gets tight (note: the chart excludes costs to recapitalize banks). If Italy or Belgium entered Europe’s Liquidity Hospital, a lot more money might be needed from European parliaments (in one worst-case scenario, Alliance Bernstein estim
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025217 →that the EU lending facility would have to increase from 440 bn to 1.7 trillion Euros, mostly from Germany). Italy faces a multi-notch downgrade from Moody’s, which is not going to help. As we discussed two weeks ago, Italy has been a model citizen in terms of running low budget deficits for 20 years, but
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025217 →Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
ith problems in Greece, Portugal and Ireland, if you include Spain, it gets tight (note: the chart excludes costs to recapitalize banks). If Italy or Belgium entered Europe’s Liquidity Hospital, a lot more money might be needed from European parliaments Limited capacity at the European Liquidity Hospital
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →ility would have to increase from 440 bn to 1.7 trillion Euros, mostly from Germany). Italy es EFSM 600 400 200 faces a multi-notch downgrade from Moody’s, which is not going to help. As we discussed two weeks ago, Italy has been a model citizen in terms of running low budget deficits for 20 years, but
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →an 4 UK New Zealand 5 Australia Canada 5 Canada Canada 6 Canada Netherlands 6 New Zealand Estonia 7 Switzerland New Zealand 7 Australia Australia 8 ; Belgium 8 Austria Netherlands 9 Belgium Australia 9 Ireland Germany 10 France Germany 10 Sweden Switzerland 11 Austria Estonia 1 Czech Republic UK 12 Denmark
quire fiscal adjustments of a magnitude that, in some cases, will test social cohesion. ' - Pierre Cailleteau Managing Director of Sovereign Risk at Moody’s, 3/16/2010 .../f there are not offsetting measures to reverse the deterioration in negative fundamentals in the U.S., the likelihood of a negative o
in areas with ample wind and solar resources but located far from customers. Companies such as Northeast Utilities (US), National Grid (UK) and Elia (Belgium/Germany) are prime beneficiaries of this transmission capital spending, along with equipment providers such as ABB (Switzerland). In addition, many
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024215 →key drivers that might cause a deterioration or improvement in a utility company’s business model against forward-looking credit rating agency (S&P, Moody’s, etc.) ratios. 24 Electron Capital Partners, LLC HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024225 --- PAGE BREAK --- Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL Appendix 2: G
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024226 →Entities connected to both Belgium and Moody’s

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