Epstein Secrets

75 70 65 60 55 50 1/1/2010 5/1/2011 8/4/2012 = 1/1/2014) 5/1/2015 = 9/1/2016 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research true against the JPY given the Bank of Japan is pegging 10y JGB yields at zero. We are cognizant of the possibility that the willingness of Japanese investors — who have already bought record am

rish (not foolish) For the year ahead, we recommend being bearish 5y US rates, long USDJPY and short a basket of LatAm long bonds (Mexico, Brazil and Colombia). ¢ But in the near term, we urge caution with the reflation trade. Short 10y US real rates offers the best risk-reward after recent moves. US rate

ouncements in key markets such as Brazil, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Poland, South Africa, and Turkey. Key policy rate announcement dates: 29 June, Colombia; 4 July, Poland; 5 July, Malaysia; 11 July, Brazil; 12 July, Indonesia; 19 July, Turkey 36 UBS Preference: overweight Recommendations Tactical (

should profit in the medium term. e Longer-term debt issues and weak competitiveness of major exporters are hurting the Japanese economy. Therefore the Bank of Japan and Ministry of Finance will maintain an expansive policy and continue to try weaken the JPY. However, current positive growth dynamics are supportiv

lar to QE itself. Beyond that, this is another small step towards perceptions that monetary policy is no longer independent from fiscal policy, like the Bank of Japan’s joint statement with two government ministers last month. Nobody knows the tipping point at which these perceptions feed into much higher inflation e

24 -3.2 5.0 10.0 2.0 25 2.0 96 99 10.0 11.0 Brazil 27 14 4 0.5 6 48 46 3.8 40 43 6.7 5.0 55 56 Chile 6.0 54 45 51 71 3.0 40 40 5.0 5.0 40 3.1 25 3.1 Colombia 5.9 43 45 0.9 67 28 3.8 42 53 55 3.9 34 3.1 3.2 Ecuador 8.0 5.0 40 42 48 3.0 55 5.0 3.0 3.0 55 51 54 54 Mexico 3.9 3.9 3.6 49 30 21+ 3.5 40 3.2 3.3 5