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divided into structural surplus and deficit economies. While Anglo-Saxon countries have tended to run current account deficits. Japan. Switzerland, Norway. and Sweden have generated consistent surpluses for decades. As a result of these highly persistent global imbalances, the two camps have accumulat
forecasts lower. We now see EUFt/LISD moving down to 1.00 by year-end. 90cents by 2016 and down to a trough of 85cents by 2017. Date 9 March 2015 George Saravelos Strategist a We also foresee a continuation of low and flat global yield curves: Europe will continue being a major source of global imbalances f
together, the dilemma of balancing the risk of domestic overheating versus excessive currency appreciation and subdued spot inflation is something Norway shares with a number of EM economies and also to a lesser extent with neighboring Sweden. However, Norway's dilemma is further reinforced by the l
10: Turning Up the Volume: Buy USD/GBP variance swap and AUD/USD variance swap Research Team London Bilal Hafeez James Malcolm Henrik Gullberg George Saravelos Caio Natividade Siddharth Kapoor Oliver Harvey Nicholas Weng New York Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Drausio Giacomelli Guilherme Marone Mauro R
ies US Japan Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Sa
cer Taimur Baig Gustavo Canonero Strategy Dominic Konstam Francis Yared Oleg Melentyev Jim Reid David Bianco Sebastian Raedler Alan Ruskin George Saravelos Michael Hsueh Binky Chadha Peter Garber Global Head of Research Global Head, Macro Research Telephone +44 20 754 55502 +852 2203 8303 Email
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