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divided into structural surplus and deficit economies. While Anglo-Saxon countries have tended to run current account deficits. Japan. Switzerland, Norway. and Sweden have generated consistent surpluses for decades. As a result of these highly persistent global imbalances, the two camps have accumulat
b Level 16 60272 Frankfurt am Man International Commerce Centre. Sanno Park Tower Corner of Hunter & Philip Streets 1 Austin Road West.Kowbon. Chiyoda-ku. Tokyo 100-6171 Sydney. NSW 2000 Hon /(or e ~ Japan Australia Deutsche Bank AG London Deutsche Bank Secuntes Inc 1 Great Winchester Street 60
nk of three reasons to go short CHF/NOK. 1. The relative cycle is supportive of rate differentials. Inflation is at a much higher starting point in Norway than in Switzerland, leaving the Norges Bank much less room to manoeuvre than the SNB in the event of upside surprises to import prices or stronge
60272 Frankfurt am Main International Commerce Centre, Senna Park Tower Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets Germany 1 Austin Road West,Kowloon, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6171 Sydney, NSW 2000 Tel: (49)69 910 00 Hong Kong Japan Australia Tel: (852) 2203 8888 Tel: (81) 3 5156 6770 Tel: (61) 2 8258 123
together, the dilemma of balancing the risk of domestic overheating versus excessive currency appreciation and subdued spot inflation is something Norway shares with a number of EM economies and also to a lesser extent with neighboring Sweden. However, Norway's dilemma is further reinforced by the l
111111. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. United States of America Tel: Deutsche Bank AG Filiale Hongkong Hong Kong Tel: Deutsche Securities Inc. Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6171 Japan Tel: Ralf 14Mo matil!".11111 Speyer Co-Heads DB Research Germany Andreas Neubauer Regional Head Guy Ashton Chief Oper
ies US Japan Euro area Germany France Italy Spain Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Portugal Ireland United Kingdom Denmark Norway Sweden Switzerland Canada Australia New Zealand EEMEA Czech Republic Egypt Hungary Israel Kazakhstan Nigeria Poland Romania Russia Sa
ational Commerce Centre, 1 Austin Road West,Kowloon, Hong Kong Tel: (852) 2203 8888 Deutsche Securities Inc. 2-11-1 Nagatacho Sanno Park Tower Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6171 Japan Tel: (81) 3 5156 6770 Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deu
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