Epstein Secrets

divided into structural surplus and deficit economies. While Anglo-Saxon countries have tended to run current account deficits. Japan. Switzerland, Norway. and Sweden have generated consistent surpluses for decades. As a result of these highly persistent global imbalances, the two camps have accumulat

ral rise in saving preferences post-crisis, we argue that Europeans now have to become net creditors to the rest of the world. • We find that the Eurozone's NIIP needs to rise from -10% of GDP to at least 30% for Europe's current account surplus to become sustainable. We estimate that this adjustment

South Korea, Brazil, Canada, United States, Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom. Once the new securities appear, we begin to trade them in accordance with the directional trade signals

A_R1_02032430 EFTA02691084 ATorus, LLC Backtest & Trading Assumptions Size of Portfolio/No. of Positions: The global macro book includes all G20, Eurozone (original member states), and BRIO equity index futures and credit indices, where available. We've removed Saudi Arabia and replaced with New Zeala

/USD (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandUSD/CHF (Fwd. Rates) Euro Cross Rates Japan EUR/JPY U.K. (Fwd. Rates) EUR/GBP (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandEUR/CHF Norway Sweden (Fwd. Rates) EUR/NOK (Fwd. Rates) EUR/SEK (Fwd. Rates) EFTA01464310 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.77 - 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.93 0.99 1.04 1.06 - 0.9

ies from the IMF we calculate that German exports could be reduced by as much as EUR 3.3bn per year. In recent years, German exports to outside the Eurozone have grown as the economy has responded to weak demand in the single currency area. Germany's relatively strong growth compared the rest of the Eur

ation in society, but would leave ample time for family, friendship and leisure. To many the above will seem ridiculously naïve, but the example of Norway given previously shows that the numbers can add up, and a three day week is feasible. As long as enough capital is available. Futurologists' predi

tem in 1992, or the collapse of Japan into deflation in the early 1990's. At the time of writing it is clear that the central banks of the USA, the Eurozone, Japan, the UK, Switzerland, Sweden and others are all following their own significantly different policies, based primarily on experience and intu

important contributor to US GDP growth. Growth has also begun to pick up in key areas of the emerging markets, including China and Brazil. While the Eurozone economy remains weak, we expect Q3 2012 to mark the bottom, and that growth will begin to get "less bad" from Q4 2012. Equities Equity markets have

continue to tap the primary market if they ask for a support program? ¢ How much more support will Greece receive and will it be able to stay in the Eurozone next year? CIO View (Probability: 70%*) Austerity and weak growth ¢ We think the Eurozone economy troughed in 3Q. We expect flattish growth in 4Q 20

he euro crisis and reserve unwinding of the SNB at some point. Given this balance, we have decided to close the underweight in the CHF. ¢ Sweden and Norway stand out for their lower debt-to-GDP ratios and current account surpluses. Both the SEK and NOK have appreciated on diversification and safe-haven i

36 UBS Economy The successful formation of a Greek government after the June 17 elections has reduced the risk of an imminent Greek exit from the Eurozone. However, the Euro debt crisis persists, and further reform and consolidation efforts in Spain and Italy are needed. In the US, economic data weakene

F appreciation and the SNB has clearly shown in May that it is willing and can protect the floor; we expect the SNB to continue in this. ¢ Sweden and Norway stand out for their lower debt-to-GDP ratios and current account surpluses. The NOK appreciated recently, due to safe haven inflows. We stay neutral

rmore, liability sovereigns explained that if the eurozone were to disband, Germany's role as the financial

le, Panama and Peru. For the distribution of this document, Continental Europe is defined as Austria, Belgium, France, Finaland, Greece, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, Denmark, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland. This document is for information purposes only and is not an off