Epstein Secrets

lance of Payments (BoP) framework as they could lead to drains on SAMA reserves in the near term. Over time, Saudi Arabia could decide to emulate the Norway model, which would entail a more prudent use and conduct of fiscal policy, in our view. Chart 1: PIF budget contributions small versus GCC SWF contr

uwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of return on SAMA reserve assets Investment income and transfer of profits of public entities for K

Cc fo?) f=] —_ N oO t+ wo . . 7 : : oS SoS o oo So So oS So Oo x x x x —- x Qatar Abu Dhabi Kuwait SaudiArabia Dubai RRS RRRKRKRKCKKRRKRKKAA Source: Haver, IMF, Saudi Ministry of Finance, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. 2015 data, Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Implied rate of re

Source: Deutsche Bank, UK Land Registry average price of detached house in prime London (Kensington and Chelsea) Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 Norway Netherlands France Austria EFTA01464497 Hungary Portugal Italy Ireland Spain Greece China Indonesia Thailand Brazil Taiwan Malaysia

ted with private inflows since the late 1990s Figure 6: Relative to the private basic balance, the dollar is expensive Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and US Treasury Page 18 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464513 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives Figure 7: Net

/USD (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandUSD/CHF (Fwd. Rates) Euro Cross Rates Japan EUR/JPY U.K. (Fwd. Rates) EUR/GBP (Fwd. Rates) SwitzerlandEUR/CHF Norway Sweden (Fwd. Rates) EUR/NOK (Fwd. Rates) EUR/SEK (Fwd. Rates) EFTA01464310 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.77 - 0.80 0.79 0.78 0.93 0.99 1.04 1.06 - 0.9

bn) Figure 17: The basic balance has generally been in a downtrend since 2007 Figure 18: as net FDI outflows continue Source: DB FX Research and Haver Source: DB FX Research and Haver Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Page 27 EFTA01464358 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Financ