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Microsoft Word - 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.docx
60% ceiling AX 50% =e Debt limit to 3x 40% gov. receipts 30% —> 2x 20% 1x 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowe
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 →explain how they get to the President’s baseline in the first place. 1 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025221 --- PAGE BREAK --- Eye on the Market | July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025222 →Industrial production Index, 100 = January 2007 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 15 2007 2009 2010 2011 Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery = Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain. 2008 * The current EFSF lending capacity is Eur 255 b
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →h more time to fail. Industrial production Index, 100 = January 2007 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 15 2007 2009 2010 2011 Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery = Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain. 2008 * The current EFSF len
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025223 →TOP OPPORTUNISTIC INVESTMENT THEMES FOR 1Q 2012 Global Investment Opportunities Group J.P. Morgan Private Bank w O LLz O a cr, This presentation is intended for your personal use only and should not be circulated to any other person without our permissi
e or sale of any financial instrument. The investment strategies and views expressed herein may differ from the opinions expressed by other areas of J.P. Morgan. including research. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future results. Please read the Important Information at the end of this document
is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used. in connection with the promotion. marketing or recommendation by anyone unaffiliated with JPMorgan Chase & Co. of any of the matters addressed herein or for the purpose of avoiding U.S. tax-related penalties. Each recipient of this presentation, and each age
A_R1_02049745 EFTA02696367 Macro ...But This Is Not 2008 0 0 CO z z z cc O a. cc O. a a. 0 Source: Bloomberg Sources: FRB, BEA, ECB, Eurostat, BoE, Office for National Statistics. BoJ. Cabinet Office. Data as of O4 2011. U.S. Households Deleveraging %GDP 130% 120% 110% 100% 90% 80%
tained herein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those of Michael Cembalest and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further. the views expressed
ient and is serviced through distinct legal entities licensed for specific activities. Bank, trust and investment management services are provided by J.P. Morgan Chase Bank. N.A. and its affiliates. Securities are offered through J.P. Morgan Securities LLC(JPMS). Member NYSE. FINRA and SIPC. Securities products purchase
+ February LTRO, estimated at 2x net December LTRO ---tr • 30% Japan 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: FRB, BEA, ECB, Eurostat, BoE, UKOffice for National Statistics. BoJ, Japan Cabinet Office. Italy's sovereign yield curve Pe cent 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Nove
Microsoft Word - 03-15-2012 - EOTM - What a diff'rence a day makes.docx
1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 1954 1967 1981 1995 2008 Source: DepartmentofLabor, BLS, Empirical Research Partners. Source: CBO, BEA, OMB, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. ' Our chief economist Michael Vaknin has analyzed the various seasonal adjustments that the Bureau of Labor Statistics uses when it reports payroll
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024132 →Eye on the Market | March 15, 2012 J.P Morgan Topics: Is US data as good as it looks? Is Chinese data as bad as it looks? Is European data as bizarre as it looks? What a diff’rence a day makes.
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024132 →Euro Area ™ undexd -05 875 90 -0.6 775 -0.7 675 -3% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Citigroup, Bloomberg. Source: Eurostat, Bundesbank. After four years that challenge some of the basic assumptions of efficient markets and laissez-faire capitalism, there is a pent-up dem
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024133 →oduction Source: Nationa Bureau of Statistics, PROC, China Automotive Information, China Economic Information Network, CLSA-Markit, Haver Analytics. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, ISI Group, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. * PMI data areindexlevel. Housingprice toincome, cement production and steel productionare as of
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024134 →ient and is serviced through distinct legal entities licensed for specific activities. Bank, trust and investment management services are provided by J.P. Morgan Chase Bank, N.A, and its affiliates. Securities are offered through J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (JPMS), Member NYSE, FINRA and SIPC. Securities products purchased or
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024134 →tained herein is intended as a general market commentary. Opinions expressed herein are those of Michael Cembalest and may differ from those of other J.P. Morgan employees and affiliates. This information in no way constitutes J.P. Morgan research and should not be treated as such. Further, the views ex
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024134 →Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011
raising the debt ceiling YS , , + . + . 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010 Debt limit to gov. receipts nd Source: OMB, BEA, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lower
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025215 →reland, Spain & Portugal 16% 105. 14% 100 17% i 10% od B% 85 G% Germany ad Ao, a aa 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0% aa ae ; Source: INE, CSO, ISTAT, NSS, Eurostat, Bundesbank, J.P. Morgan Ve7O gf TOG 188 TO 1D ZO aT Securities LLC, J.P. Morgan Private Bank. Periphery =Portugal, Ireland, lialy, Source: J.P. Morg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025218 →antee of future results. References to the performance or character of our portfolios generally refer to our Balanced Model Portfolios constructed by J.P. Morgan. It is a proxy for client performance and may not represent actual transactions or investments in client accounts. The model portfolio can be
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025220 →Entities connected to both JPMorgan Chase and Eurostat
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
ORGANIZATION
George W. Bush
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Federal Reserve
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United States
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Deutsche Bank
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Samantha Power
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Bloomberg L.P.
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United Kingdom
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Donald Trump
PERSONDoug Band
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Angela Merkel
PERSONMichael Cembalest
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Barack Obama
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Harry Reid
PERSON
U.S. Treasury
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Malaysia
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Philippines
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Ronald Reagan
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David Cameron
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Frankfurt
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