Epstein Secrets

he downside risk to demand growth given the weak payroll number but we think the selloff in oil is overdone and expect Brent to recover. Jan Loe s JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand J.P. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Pani irtzoglou J.P. Morgan Securities plc Seamus Mac Gorain EFTA00628227 J.P. Morgan Securit

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uities could go nowhere for years to come. Fixed Income • Yesterday was a study in central bank contrasts, with the ECB sitting on its hands, while the Bank of Japan launched the most aggressive easing at a single meeting by any G-4 central bank. The BoJ surprise came in both the size of its programme — it will

or analyst certification and important disclosures. Global Asset Allocation 04 January 2013 Global Asset Allocation Jan Loeys AC (1-212)834-5874 JPMorgan Chase Bank NA John Normand (44-20) 7134-1816 M. Morgan Securities plc Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou (44-20) 7134-7815 Morgan Secunties plc Seamus Mac Gorain (44-

than trend shifts. • Last week, we raised our USD/JPY forecasts from a 2013 range of 75.85 to a range of 80-90. We have always been sceptical that the Bank of Japan would be able to drive up Japanese inflation and drive down real yields versus the US to power USD/JPY higher throughout 2013, but there is no deny

lar to QE itself. Beyond that, this is another small step towards perceptions that monetary policy is no longer independent from fiscal policy, like the Bank of Japan’s joint statement with two government ministers last month. Nobody knows the tipping point at which these perceptions feed into much higher inflation e

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re I oversaw $16 billion in private and institutional client assets, I want to briefly introduce myself in my new role as Chief Investment Officer of the J.P. Morgan Private Bank. I've been part of the investment and strategy team at the Private Bank since 2004, when I returned to the firm to work with Michael Cembalest as he

believe inflation comes after growth and therefore isn't a threat to this cycle of easy monetary policy. We expect the Fed, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan will continue to promote "easy money." There is going to be an inflation shock that will come with accelerating growth-we just don't see it next year

s flagship emerging markets mutual fund. He was also a senior member of the firm's investment committee. Before joining Offitbank, Richard worked for J.P. Morgan's Investment Banking division in New York in the emerging markets securities business. He previously spent six years with Citicorp, first as a banker i