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Index llh 1/444 \ o, fti sl• 0 sr It) It) It) It) CI, CCI <0. CO I, - A o- *t t Soiree 8ofA Mend Lynch Global Research Bloomberg Bankof Amenca Merrill Lynch Global Liquid Markets Weekly I 24 July 2017 13 EFTA00788487 Rates Sphla Salim MLI (UK) Erjon Satko MLI (UK) Rualrl Hourthane

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ld stall or reverse. Even if nat gas prices were to increase sharply — 2013 -2016 -2014 -.-2017 18 Global Liquid Markets Weekly 124 July 2017 Bankof America ' Merrill Lynch EFTA00788492 from here, additional supplies would not come in time for the winter given an estimated six month lag from production

ts may explain why Draghi gave up on the currency this week. But something has been lost in the process and the Euro could now appreciate freely if Eurozone data keeps improving. BoJ only dovish major central bank The BoJ left its policy unchanged this week and Governor Kuroda justified the current po

, PMI’s and consumer confidence pointing to a solid Q4 to follow. That quarter is currently tracking at 3.6% according to the Atlanta Fed. Chart 13: Eurozone PMI’s have picked up of late... Chart 14: US Consumer Confidence now at post-GFC highs 60.0 120 100 59.0 80 50.0 60 40 45.0 ———US Consumer Confidence

n for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and banks the bigger issue Although Italy goes to the polls this year, it is worthwhile starting with this

ariables like 10-year Treasury yields, gold and S/yen also hit oversold levels. The models are useful in isolation for highlighting any anomalies in Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy |01 December 2016 = 21 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014480 --- PAGE BREAK --- recent price action for individual assets. However, the

10 Global Cross Asset Strategy - Year Ahead | 30 November 2016 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014441 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 15: Eurozone PMI's point to solid growth Chart 16: Japanese growth expected to accelerate in 2017 60.0 3.0 58.0 —_.,. = 2.0 Forecasts 56.0 54.0 1.0 52.0 50.0 0.0

d long RUB/ZAR. The former has dropped as the EUR has weakened against the USD. We continue to think that the Swedish economy is more robust than the Eurozone and that the Riksbank will sooner or later have to adjust monetary policy accordingly. We see a lot more room for this pair to move in 2017, particul

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ad | 16 November 2016 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014735 --- PAGE BREAK --- target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending q

h Personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of America Corporation, including profits derived from investment banking. The analyst(s) responsible for this report may also receive compensation based upon, a

ted by the Securities and Exchange Board of India; PT Merrill Lynch (Indonesia): P Comisién Nacional del Mercado De Valores; Merrill Lynch (Brazil): Bank of America Merr This research report: has been approved for publication and is distributed in the United FCA and the PRA) by MLI (UK) and Bank of America Merrill Ly

errill Lynch (Singapore) (Company Registration Nos F 06872E and 198602883D respectively). MLIBLMB and Merrill Lynch (Singapore) are regulated by MAS. Bank of America N.A., Australian Branch (ARBN 064 874 531), AFS License 412901 (BANA Australia) and Merrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limi License 235132 (MLEA) distribu

tem from abroad. Specifically, we see higher uncertainty over global trade, risk sentiment, and FX as a result of political transitions in the US and Eurozone. We consider multiple policy scenarios under a Trump presidency. Trump’s campaign promises have mixed implications for Japan. On a positive note dere

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