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urope, especially France and Germany. Because of the winner takes all system in France we find investors are more concerned with the situation there. Marine Le Pen and the Front National look likely to make it to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investors will be cautious about European markets. A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both. That in turn has arg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →d by the PRA and regulated by the FCA and the PRA, and is distributed in the UK to retail clients (as defined in the rules of the FCA and the PRA) by Merrill Lynch International Bank Limited, London Branch, which is authorized by the Central Bank of Ireland and subject to imited regulation by the FCA and PRA - details about the extent of
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →crucial French elections. A Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 5 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014464 --- PAGE BREAK --- Marine Le Pen victory could bring into question both the future of the EU and also the euro, should the polls be close it could make the uncertainty and market mov
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →erica 16 European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 --- PAGE BREAK --- Barty argued in The Trump Inflection, Le Pen’s victory has the potential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Indeed, we have already seen a 1vol move in April 2017
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014476 →d by the PRA and regulated by the FCA and the PRA, and is distributed in the UK to retail clients (as defined in the rules of the FCA and the PRA) by Merrill Lynch International Bank Limited, London Branch, which is authorized by the Central Bank of Ireland and subject to imited regulation by the FCA and PRA - details about the extent of
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →rate cut. The risk to this view is if tail risk scenarios unfold in European politics, such as an early election in Italy with Five Star winning, or Le Pen wining the second round in the French elections. Although we expect markets to be more concerned about European politics following the US elections,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014747 →ut it earlier if Renzi loses the referendum. The 2017 French election is another concern. President of the far-right party and presidential candidate Marine Le Pen is ahead in the polls to win the first round. Winning the second round is much more difficult, as she will need more than 50% of the votes, but inves
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014754 →ealing in securities (and not futures contracts) or provision of specific advice on securities (and not futures contracts). Si report should contact Merrill Lynch International Bank Limited (Merchant Bank) and/or research report. General Investment Related Disclosures: Taiwan Readers: Neither the information nor any opinion expressed he
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →e risk of a Fed hike in March and better-than- expected results by the Freedom Party in the Dutch election could intensify concerns of a second-round Le Pen win in May. The latter suggests that over the next 2-3 months it may be easier to buy the USD than to pay US rates and easier to sell EUR/USD than to
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014727 →ios; Merrill Lynch KSA Company, h (Singapore): Merril erril y the Securities and y. ) ingdom (UK ional Limited, which are authorized the PRA) by Merrill Lynch International Bank Limited, London s about the extent of our regulation by nder the Financial Instruments and Excl ion in relation to, or advice on, fu 0, or use by, any person
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014729 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch International Bank Limited and Marine Le Pen

Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
BANA Australia
ORGANIZATION
United States
LOCATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Marc Rich
PERSONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATION