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16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436 →l): Merrill Lynch srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): OOO Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch), regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): M
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →l}: Merrill Lynch srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): OOO Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): M
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Quantitative Analysis
ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023072 →l): Merrill Lynch srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): O00 Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): M
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597 →nch (India): DSP Merrill Lynch Limited, ndonesia, regulated by Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK); Merrill Lynch (Israel): Merrill es, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch errill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.A.S.V., regulated by jo SA, regulated by Comissdo de Valores Mobiliario
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023609 →Entities connected to both the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and Staples

Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Frankfurt
LOCATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America, N.A.
ORGANIZATIONthe Financial Supervisory Service
ORGANIZATION
Marc Rich
PERSONMerrill Lynch (Asia Pacific) Limited
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATION
Comisién Nacional de Valores
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATION