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Investment Strategy
16 Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014435 --- PAGE BREAK --- Chart 3: EM debt and equity have been hit Chart 4: While Banks versus Staples has gone ballistic 950 r 40 0.43 ——MSCI EM _ 900 SSW eG TRS EN LSI SEE ERG ; , ———S&P 500 Banks relative to Food & Bev 0.39 (RHS) 850 0.37 0.35 800 0
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014436 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comision Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Inte
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →relative price vs 52wk average (SD) Source: Re BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg place this text Chart 6: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 110 eee German
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014462 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co, Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Inte
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →Quantitative Analysis
ctor Est. cash Overseas cash Effective tax Net % imported vs Sector overseas ($bn) = % mkt cap rate LTM exported COGS Discretionary 15 2.9% 28% -14% Staples 68 3.2% 29% -13% Energy 39 26% 21% -3% Health Care 187 10% 23% A% Industrials 127 6.0% 26% 1% Technology 647 14.9% 20% -9% Materials 24 40% 23% 3% Te
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023072 →A de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisidn Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch japan): Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd., regulated by the Financial Services Agency; Merrill Lynch (Seoul): Merrill Lynch Int
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023094 →SPX puts conditioned on higher rates Participate in the continuation of the reflation trade. Cheapen Financials upside by selling rich Utilities and Staples vol & expensive correl. Higher US rates and stronger dollar are likely to hurt companies exposed to EM and help US DM. Trade the outperformance in a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023597 →tary Authority of try Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch )}: Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch} regulated by the ecurities and Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India):
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023609 →Entities connected to both Comisién Nacional de Valores and Staples

Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONDSP Merrill Lynch Limited
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of the Russian Federation
ORGANIZATIONOtoritas Jasa Keuangan
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATIONthe Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONthe Financial Supervisory Service
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Ireland
ORGANIZATION
Marc Rich
PERSONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Argentina SA
ORGANIZATION