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Investment Strategy
urope, especially France and Germany. Because of the winner takes all system in France we find investors are more concerned with the situation there. Marine Le Pen and the Front National look likely to make it to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →to the second round of voting (again according to polls) and until the vote comes in we suspect investors will be cautious about European markets. A Le Pen victory could likely bring the future of the EU and the Euro into question as she has talked about France withdrawing from both. That in turn has arg
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014443 →ame: legal name, regulator): Merrill Lynch (South Africa}: Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014457 →crucial French elections. A Bankof America Merrill Lynch European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 5 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014464 --- PAGE BREAK --- Marine Le Pen victory could bring into question both the future of the EU and also the euro, should the polls be close it could make the uncertainty and market mov
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014465 →erica 16 European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014475 --- PAGE BREAK --- Barty argued in The Trump Inflection, Le Pen’s victory has the potential to be even more of an earthquake for the world’s financial markets. Indeed, we have already seen a 1vol move in April 2017
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014476 →ame: legal name, regulator): Merrill Lynch (South Africa): Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Ltd., regulated by The Financial Service Board; MLI (UK): Merrill Lynch International, regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Prudential Regulation Authority PRA); Merrill Lynch (Australia): Merrill Lynch Equities (
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →rate cut. The risk to this view is if tail risk scenarios unfold in European politics, such as an early election in Italy with Five Star winning, or Le Pen wining the second round in the French elections. Although we expect markets to be more concerned about European politics following the US elections,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014747 →ut it earlier if Renzi loses the referendum. The 2017 French election is another concern. President of the far-right party and presidential candidate Marine Le Pen is ahead in the polls to win the first round. Winning the second round is much more difficult, as she will need more than 50% of the votes, but inves
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014754 →rities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): O00 Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merri DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Merrill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana, S.AS.V., regu
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014785 →Entities connected to both Merrill Lynch International and Marine Le Pen

Donald Trump
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Marc Rich
PERSONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
BANA Australia
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATIONBank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch KSA Company
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONThe Financial Service Board
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Equities (Australia) Limited
ORGANIZATIONthe Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada
ORGANIZATION