Epstein Secrets

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balances point to deficits of 210 kbd in 2017 and 90 kbd in 2018. We lower our WTI forecasts to average $47 this year and $50.bbl next year. We cut Brent to $50 this year and $52bbl in 2018. We now beleve oil stays in contango by yearend. but see a WTI forward anchor al $45.50 and S5 backwardation by

a lookalike to Liza, we believe a ‘plus three year’ development scheme is a reasonable basis to frame option value in a success case. Under our $70 Brent base case, the theoretical NPV would be around $10/sh. This is on top of the approximate $12-14/ share value we estimate is reasonable for Hess from

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0/110% corridor variance Buy NKY Jun17-Jun18 18,500 strike FVA Long Russell 2000 vs. short S&P 500 Dec-18 var spread Buy 1x Jun17 64 call on Aug17 Brent futures, sell 1x SXEP Jun17 330 call Buy SPX 6m ATM call contingent on GLD 5% higher in 3m Long NKY - SPX Dec-18 corridor var replication Buy NDX To

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