Epstein Secrets

of quantum effects or the stochasticity found in Black-Scholes. This is 'deterministic chaos' or usuall

l in section 2.2 above. This instability naturally produces a growing cycle of apparent wealth, which is turned into excess capital as predicted by Hayek [Hayek 1931] in Austrian business cycles. But contrary to the Austrians, and in line with research data [Kydland & Prescott 1990], the liquidity or

first area relates to the pricing models based on Black-Scholes, the second to the pricing of shares und

two-thirds of the book gives a superb potted history of economic theory and how it measures up to reality. He includes heterodox economists such as Hayek and Minsky, as well as monetarism, behaviourism and game theory, along with neoclassical economics. The result is an outstanding review of economic

onsider it filled merely with random events, with Black Swans. In fact, regularities and patterns appear

any looked awfully appealing to many. The political stability of totalitarian ideologis had a certain placid charm in some quarters. But, Europe was, Hayek argued, walking nothing less than a road back to serfdom. Was man happier, better off, more justly fulfilled by the chaos of a market and democracy o