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PETER D WINCHESTER,VALERIE J MARRON,DONALD B MARKIN,SUSAN C NANETTE KASS RESIDEN
SCARPA,JOHN F COOLEY,WILLIAM O TRUMP,IVANA WAGNER,JOE GREENS PHARMACY
EN,BROOKE P JOHNSON,MARIANNE O WOHL,BENJAMIN L NIBLACK,JOHN F CHOPIN,FRANK
Investment Strategy
e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →g RTY short SPX 2y variance swap Nitin Saksena 3000-2850 SX5E put spread Dec 16 expiry James Barty Equity vol Long NKY short SPX Dec 18 variance swap Benjamin Bowler Long SX5E short SPX Dec 18 variance spread Abhinandan Deb Eurostoxx 2y/3y put calendar Abhinandan Deb Short EUR/SEK Kamal Sharma Long USD/CNY call Cl
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014433 →upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU USDJPY and NKY the biggest beneficiaries of a Trump win Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector China risk premium rising but A-shares vol
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014992 →garding the risks involved with investing in listed options: http://Awww.theocc.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp Analyst Certification |, Benjamin Bowler, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. | als
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014998 →r- end target of 2.85% for the 10y rate (just above the median forecast). Long-term rates have remained low due to uncertainty around Fiscal policy (Trump’s plans on infrastructure spending), subdued inflation expectations and a slower than expected Fed hiking cycle. On the other hand, a near full-emplo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023584 →ming from new Drillisch tariffs or failure to turnaround good US operational trends into more profitable revenue streams. Analyst Certification We, Benjamin Bowler, Clovis Couasnon and Frederic Boulan, CFA, hereby certify that the views each of us has expressed in this research report accurately reflect each of
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023603 →ntion) may still find that option markets are currently pricing too little of a move. However, as we have recently argued the debate about whether a Trump win would be good or bad for markets coupled with the inability to exactly pinpoint real risks are likely headwinds to a sizeable market shock. 8 Gl
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025985 →Global Research 22 Global Equity Volatility Insights | 09 August 2016 (pertain HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025999 --- PAGE BREAK --- Analyst Certification |, Benjamin Bowler, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. | als
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026000 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and Benjamin Bowler

Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSONDoug Band
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Jeff Sessions
PERSON
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Hong Kong
LOCATIONCarney
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATION
Telstra
ORGANIZATIONFraser
PERSON
Warren Buffett
PERSON
Australia
LOCATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Nasdaq
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION