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Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Cause and Effect Fade the Trump risk premium — buy USD Concerns over stagflation return In our view, the most interesting and important development in the global financial market
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014721 →fact that the only item in his 100 day plan that President Trump has reneged on is his promise to label China as a
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014724 →h (Asia Lynch (Singapore) Pte Ltd, regulated by the Monetary Authority of atory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comisién Nacional de Valores; Merrill Lynch }: Merrill Lynch International Incorporated (Seoul Branch) regulated by t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014729 →scenario for Japan is a combination of rising US protectionism, sliding global trade, and a stronger yen, which could reduce 2017 growth to zero. The Trump presidency may increase pressure on Japan to achieve greater military self-reliance, boosting defense spending. There will also be greater incentives
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014410 →ccepts fu person. Investors should seek this report and should understand h Africa): Merrill Lynch jon Authority | Lynch (Asia hority of h Mexico, SA de I Lyne h mited, errill Lynch I Lyne ated KSA Com h by pany, he K to errill ated I Lynch jonal EA nor A I Lynch siness fect any transactio
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014422 →ital allocation update, tax reform, rising interest rates. Latest report: MCO rally has just begun; beneficiaries of the non-Health Care upside from Trump 1Q risks: Risks to the downside are courts not approving the HUM acquisition, lower- than-expected membership growth and higher than expected cost t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014624 →ada): Merrill Lynch Canada Inc, regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico, SA de CV, Casa de Bolsa, regulated by the Comisi6n Nacional Bancaria y de Valores; Merrill Lynch (Argentina): Merrill Lynch Argentina SA, regulated by Comi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →upside on structurally challenged European banks & relatively more bearish outlook for US rates vs EU USDJPY and NKY the biggest beneficiaries of a Trump win Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector Banks and Insurance are the most leveraged sector China risk premium rising but A-shares vol
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014992 →Lynch 5 defined int of Ireland and subje KSA Comp he rules of FCA and the PRA, and is distributed in the UK to rill Lynch hority of h Mexico, SA de errill Lynch he | Lynch Limited, ll Lynch (Israel}: ion; Merril errill Lynch by any, ated he ct to buted in Japan Kong) which is ong BL! NA,
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014999 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and SA de

Marc Rich
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Paul Ryan
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONthe Prudential Regulation Authority
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Incorporated
ORGANIZATIONMerchant Bank
ORGANIZATION
Merri
ORGANIZATION
BofA Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch International Bank Limited
ORGANIZATIONMerrill Lynch Canada Inc
ORGANIZATION