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Investment Strategy
e trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dr
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontlo
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →am Page for Full List of Contributors 10Y real rates. CNH a hedge vs trade risk. Trump extends some trends, starts others In the three weeks since Donald Trump’s election victory global markets have seen some dramatic moves. Som1e of those moves are extending trends that had already started — higher yields, hi
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432 →e. That is particularly the case if the Fed under President Trump is made more hawkish as our economists think it p
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014437 →Price Objective Change
west footprint with its low unemployment and a strong manufacturing base. While commenting on the potential for relief coming out of DC under the new Trump administration, management noted that shortage of skilled workers was probably the biggest issue impeding businesses in its footprint versus higher t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014324 →_OVERSIGHT_014364 --- PAGE BREAK --- proposals. Mr. Trump and congress could also ultimately defer to the S
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014365 →PT Merrill Lynch (Indonesia): PT Merrill Lynch Indonesia, regulated srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): OOO Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regula DIFC): Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA); Comisién Nacional del M
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014394 →r Cross Asset year ahead you needed not so much a crystal ball as a time machine to have got things completely right this year. Aside from Brexit and Donald Trump winning the US election it is easy to forget that in February we were worrying about a US recession and deflation. US 5Y5Y forward breakeven inflatio
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014463 →ed at 1.8% at that point. Four months later we were worrying about the deflationary impact of Brexit. Now we are thinking about the reflation under a Trump Presidency. Chart 9: US 5Y5Y forward inflation troughed in February Chart 10: At the same time as Basic Resources 3.3 17 34 45 —— Stoxx Basic Resour
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014463 →Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK); Merrill Lynch (Israel}: Merrill Lynch srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): OOO Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch}, regulated by the Du
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014496 →ital allocation update, tax reform, rising interest rates. Latest report: MCO rally has just begun; beneficiaries of the non-Health Care upside from Trump 1Q risks: Risks to the downside are courts not approving the HUM acquisition, lower- than-expected membership growth and higher than expected cost t
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014624 →Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK); Merrill Lynch (Israel): Merrill Lynch srael Limited, regulated by Israel Securities Authority; Merrill Lynch (Russia): OOO Merrill Lynch Securities, Moscow, regulated by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation; Merrill Lynch DIFC}: Merrill Lynch International (DIFC Branch), regulated by the Du
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014650 →Entities connected to both Donald Trump and OOO Merrill Lynch Securities

United States
LOCATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Paul Ryan
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Middle East
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Puerto Rico
LOCATION
Angela Merkel
PERSON
North America
LOCATION
Frankfurt
LOCATION
Seoul
LOCATION
Marine Le Pen
PERSON
Bank of America
ORGANIZATIONPierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated
ORGANIZATION
Australia
LOCATION
Bank of America Corporation
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch
ORGANIZATION
the European Commission
ORGANIZATION
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION