Epstein Secrets

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12 Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Nov 12 Feb 13 May 13 NZD/CAD Model - uses Dairy Futures, NatGas, Crude, CRB, rate differential, USD TWI, VIX Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 EFTA01464441 16 May 2813 FX Blueprint: Dashing Buck While both crosses have now fallen a long way relativ

Australia Corner of Hunter & Phillip Streets Sydne NSW 2000 Tel: EFTA01464568 Ralf Hoffmann & Bernhard Speyer Co-Heads DB Research Germany Andreas Neubauer Regional Head Guy Ashton Chief Operating Officer Research Richard Smith Associate Director Equity Research Americas Steve Pollard Regional

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& Global Macro Economics Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research, Germany Steve Pollard Global Head EFTA01476252 Equity Research Andreas Neubauer Regional Head Equity Research, Germany GRCM2015PROD034979 EFTA01476253

rg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research Index USDTWI PPP Implied 20% Band 100 110 120 130 60 70 80 90 Figure 7: Dollar leads productivity USD TWI (dev from PPP implied, 12q lead, lhs) US Nonfarm Productivity (dev from trend) (rhs) 10 20 30 40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Correl (since 1982): 51%