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he risks related to rates movements. EFTA01464473 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 23 EFTA01464474 David Folkerts-Landau Global Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head International Locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Australia Te
12 Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP Nov 12 Feb 13 May 13 NZD/CAD Model - uses Dairy Futures, NatGas, Crude, CRB, rate differential, USD TWI, VIX Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 9 EFTA01464441 16 May 2813 FX Blueprint: Dashing Buck While both crosses have now fallen a long way relativ
sks related to rates movements. Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 45 EFTA01464565 David Folkerts-Landau Managing Director Global Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head Principal Locations Deutsche Bank AG London Tel: Deuts Frankfurt 60272
EFTA01464491 1.5% 2.0% Figure 6: Record Negative Correlation Between Dollar and Stocks Reversing Suggests Regime Change 2y correlation between USD TWI and S&P500 using ly rolling returns using levels Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 7 EFTA01464492 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives .Fig
g Kong Tel: (852) 2203 8888 Deutsche Securities Inc. 2-11-1 Nagatacho Sanno Park Tower Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6171 Japan Tel: (81) 3 5156 6770 Marcel Cassard Global Head FICC Research & Global Macro Economics Ralf Hoffmann Regional Head Deutsche Bank Research, Germany Steve Pollard Global Head EFTA
rg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research Index USDTWI PPP Implied 20% Band 100 110 120 130 60 70 80 90 Figure 7: Dollar leads productivity USD TWI (dev from PPP implied, 12q lead, lhs) US Nonfarm Productivity (dev from trend) (rhs) 10 20 30 40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Correl (since 1982): 51%
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Steve Pollard
PERSONAndreas Neubauer
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Frankfurt
LOCATIONDavid Folkerts-Landau
PERSON
Deutsche Bank
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Tokyo
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LOCATIONChiyoda-ku
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ORGANIZATIONNippon
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LOCATIONthe Kanto Local Finance Bureau
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LOCATIONGuy Ashton
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ORGANIZATIONDeutsche Bank AG London
ORGANIZATIONthe Financial Instruments and Exchange Law
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