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and negotiation? Is there are general approach, or how much should theories of decision making be dependent on the domain? Cheers, EFTA00847826 Joscha please note The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information
From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach Subject: Re: Decision making Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 20:39:10 +0000 probablities vs similiarities. I suggest you take care with the concept of prob
eliefs, and be able to outperform the vast majority of folks that relies on narratives (i.e. binary yes/no decisions about the facts in the world). Gigerenzer, Kahnemann and many others have shown that human brains are terrible of getting this intuitively right, to the point where an absence of fine-graine
communication and negotiation? Is there are general approach, or how much should theories of decision making be dependent on the domain? Cheers, Joscha EFTA00847823 please note The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute ins
From: Joscha Bach To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> Subject: Re: Decision making Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 20:26:59 +0000 1. Does luck mean gambling, or gett
eliefs, and be able to outperform the vast majority of folks that relies on narratives (i.e. binary yes/no decisions about the facts in the world). Gigerenzer, Kahnemann and many others have shown that human brains are terrible of getting this intuitively right, to the point where an absence of fine-graine
communication and negotiation? Is there are general approach, or how much should theories of decision making be dependent on the domain? Cheers, Joscha please note The information contained in this communication is confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information
From: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> To: Joscha Bach <, Subject: Re: Decision making Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 20:23:10 +0000 luck plays a role. 2, looking back ( bayesian ) might not tell you anthing a
eliefs, and be able to outperform the vast majority of folks that relies on narratives (i.e. binary yes/no decisions about the facts in the world). Gigerenzer, ICahnemann and many others have shown that human brains are terrible of getting this intuitively right, to the point where an absence of fine-grain
From: Joscha Bach To: Jeffrey Epstein <[email protected]> Subject: Re: Date: Mon, 01 Aug 2016 15:57:07 +0000 conjecture, probability is a force. I do not und
el machinery of the world, so when we try to understand money, power, etc., we switch from probabilistic models to causal narratives. For instance, Gigerenzer has shown that people tend to have difficulty at intuitively combining probabilities of the influences differ by an order of magnitude or more, so p
From: Joscha Bach Sent: Monday, August 1, 2016 3:57 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Re: conjecture, probability is a =orce. </=iv> I do not understand =orces
el machinery of the world, so when we try to understand money, =ower, etc., we switch from probabilistic models to causal narratives. =or instance, Gigerenzer has shown that people tend to have difficulty =t intuitively combining probabilities of the influences differ by an =rder of magnitude or more, so p
From: Joscha Bach < Sent: Wednesday, August 26, 2015 7:45 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Subject: Decision making Re motivation: Have you seen the recent movie "Ex Mach
beliefs, and be =ble to outperform the vast majority of folks that relies on narratives =i.e. binary yes/no decisions about the facts in the world). Gigerenzer, =ahnemann and many others have shown that human brains are terrible of =etting this intuitively right, to the point where an absence of =ine-grain
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