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From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen ‹ > Subject: October 16 update Date: Wed, 17 Oct 2012 17:36:21 +0000 16 October, 2012 Article 1. NYT The New Egypt Roger Cohen Article 2. Ahr
4. The Washington Post Obama and Romney's empty talk on Syria Richard Cohen Article 5. Spiegel Iran's Secret Plan to Contaminate the Strait of Hormuz Erich Follath Article 6. The Christian Science Monitor NATO must offer Turkey military support in Syria crisis Jorge Benitez Article 7. NYT N
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Subject: May 13 update Date: Tue, 15 May 2012 16:26:23 +0000 13 May, 2012 Article t The Atlantic Egypt: Inside the Fight for the Presidency Th
leaders on all sides say they are fully prepared to employ force if the peace talks fail. For the Iranians, this means blocking [34] the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow channel through which one-third of the world's tradable oil passes every day. The United States, for its part, has insisted that it wil
To: Tom Pritzker Subject: Fwd: March 5 update Date: Wed, 07 Mar 2012 02:34:48 +0000 Sent from my iPad Begin forwarded message: From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen <■ Date: March 6, 2012 10:21:29 PM AST Subject: March 5 update s March, 2012 Article 1. The Washington Post The end of Putinism Jackson Diehl
a move designed to cripple the Islamic Republic's ability to sell oil overseas. Iran responded by threatening to militarily shut down the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow shipping lane out of the Persian Gulf through which 20 percent of the world's oil trade passes. On January 8, three days before the att
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Subject: June 19 update Date: Tue, 19 Jun 2012 23:29:49 +0000 19 June, 2012 Article 1. NYT Egypt's Democracy Interrupted Editorial Article 2.
70 percent of its total consumption. Most of that imported energy comes through a handful of vital marine bottlenecks: principally, the straits of Hormuz and Malacca and the Suez Canal. Yet China contributes almost nothing to stability in the oil-producing heartland of the Arabian deserts and barely
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Sent: Wed 2/22/2012 10:43:52 PM Subject: February 21 update 21 February, 2012 Article 1. The Financial Times The drift towards war with Iran
t would lead to a much wider conflict. US air power would be used to knock out Iranian retaliatory capacity. Any Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would be swiftly challenged by the US navy, with some token European support. While the Gulf states could never support an Israeli attack on Iran,
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen ‹ > Subject: April 4 update Date: Fri, 06 Apr 2012 10:33:08 +0000 4 April, 2012 Article 1. NYT A Middle East Twofer Thomas L. Friedman Articl
. More important, Israel cannot strike Iran without U.S. permission because Israel cannot guarantee that the Iranians would not mine the Strait of Hormuz. Only the United States could hope to stop the Iranians from doing so, and the United States would need to initiate the conflict by taking out the
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Subject: February 7 update Date: Wed, 08 Feb 2012 14:52:50 +0000 7 February, 2012 Article 1. NYT Unity Deal Brings Risks for Abbas and Israel
ghts. There are five reasons (I am told) why Israel should not attack Iran: 1. The Iranians would retaliate with great fury, closing the Strait of Hormuz and unleashing the dogs of terror in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iraq. EFTA00687003 2. The entire region would be set ablaze by irate Muslims; the Arab S
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen ‹ > Subject: September 3 update Date: Tue, 04 Sep 2012 16:42:34 +0000 3 September, 2012 Article 1. The Washington Post Understanding Obama's an
military officials say is a demonstration of unity and a defensive step to prevent Iran from attempting to block oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, the United States and Iran have each announced what amounted to dueling defensive exercises to be conducted this fall, each intended to d
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Sent: Tue 5/15/2012 4:26:23 PM Subject: May 13 update 13 May, 2012 The Atlantic Egypt: Inside the Fight for the Presidency Article 1. Thanass
leaders on all sides say they are fully prepared to employ force if the peace talks fail. For the Iranians, this means blocking [34] the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow channel through which one-third of the world's tradable oil passes every day. The United States, for its part, has insisted that it wi
From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Sent: Thur 8/16/2012 1:59:38 PM Subject: August 15 update 15 August, 2012 Article 1. Stratfor The Israeli Crisis George Friedman Article 2.
nd to launch such an attack. And it is not clear that such an attack would succeed. It is also not clear that the Iranian counter at the Strait of Hormuz wouldn't leave Israel in a difficult political situation, and above all it is not clear that Egyptian and Syrian factions would even be impressed b
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