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going to be a smooth one. The global private sector still inhabits a world more affected by government policy than any other in the last 300 years. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer I The new 5-year plan calls for a 7% growth target. Barry Eichengreen at Berkeley notes that the transition to slower grow
barrels per day 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 Libya & Algeria exports 0 1999 2001 2002 2004 2005 2007 2008 2010 Source: Bloomberg. 2 EFTA00610625 Eye on the Market I March 10.2011 J.P.Morgan On Europe, solvency problems in Greece, Portugal and Ireland are increasingly bei
stark contrast with the West, Asia's fiscal accounts are in excellent shape should they be needed to respond to another round of global weakness. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer Sources "A Peace Dividend for North Korea? The Political Economy of Military Spending, Conflict Resolution, and Reform",
ns and Impact on South Korean equity market Kospl Index 100= day before event 115 110 • 105 • 100 • 95 • 90 • 85 • sa • 0 1 2 3 Source: Bloomberg. 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 KA D H Date Event A B C E F H J K August-1998 June-1999 June-2002 September-2004 July-2006 October
since 2001 remains uninvested. We're watching for opportunities in transportation, infrastructure and consumer goods in case the landscape changes. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer [a] Bemanlce wrote in 1999 about the "self-induced paralysis" of the Japanese, and how Roosevelt's best contributions in
rce ..l.P. Morgan F8 cal cul abons. world Gold Co uno I. G F MS. U.S. Jan-08 Jun-08 Nov-08 Apr-09 Sep-09 Feb-10 Jul-10 Geological Survey. IMF. Bloomberg, MSCI. BIS. Merrill Lynch. Source:Saudi Arabian ',smeary Agency. Saudi Arabia: pressures from a weaker dollar and how its investment parapets lim
ank. • PMIdata are index levet Housingprice to income. cementpiodudion and steel productional.° as of Dec.2011. All theother dataareas of Feb.2012. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer "What a dirrenee a day makes", Dinah Washington, 1959, Mercury Records "Banks Deleveraging and Real Estate", Morgan Stanl
.2 • •0.3 -Ti MSCI World • 1,175 - 1,075 - 975 •0.4 • •0.5 - Index • 875 •0.6 • - 775 675 •0.7 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Citigrotp, Bloomberg. 2012 Unfortunately, the ECB can't create jobs Employment percent change, O0O, saar 3% .3% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Eu
rn to the mundane topic of investments. Next week, a detailed look at opportunistic US commercial real estate investing in the current environment. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 1985 1988 Source: European Commission. Postscript: As a reminder, the Institute o
reserve requirement ratios, from 2% to 1% Spain's sovereign yield curve Pe cent 8% November 29,2011 January 24. 2012 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y Source: Bloomberg. Source: Bloomberg. It should not be lost on anyone that first prize in the Central Bank balance sheet expansion race is not necessarily one you w
raders diverge, the Commission repeatedly has emphasized that its duty is to uphold the interests of long-term investors". On that, we agree 100%. Michael Cembalest Chief Investment Officer J.P. Morgan Private Banking Notes (a) The TABB survey included buy side investors, broker-dealers, execution venues, liq
EFTA00742476 11, 2010: 2pm - 4pm 500 Index 1,160 1,150 1,140 1,130 1,120 1,110 1,100 1,090 1,080 1,070 1,060 2:00 PM 3:00PM Source: Bloomberg. HFT firms account for a growing share of all trades %of all trading activity 70% - 60% - 50% - 40% • 30% - 20% - 10% 0% 4:00 FM 2003 20
Entities connected to both Michael Cembalest and Bloomberg L.P.

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSONLeon Black
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
Ghislaine Maxwell
PERSON
United States
LOCATION
Bill Clinton
PERSON
George W. Bush
PERSON
Michael Jackson
PERSON
Prince Charles
PERSONEmmy Taylor
PERSON
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
John F. Kennedy
PERSON
Mitch McConnell
PERSON
Oliver Stone
PERSON
Dick Cheney
PERSONMartin Weinberg
PERSON
Condoleezza Rice
PERSON
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATION
Harry Reid
PERSON