Epstein Secrets

ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t

ector accounts for 18.4% of the CEMBI Broad, but not all of the issuers in the sector arc beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Only about 22% of the CEMBI Broad is made up of issuers in countries that are net oil exporters and where the economy would benefit from higher oil prices (JPI/ E tl Corporat

rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500

sury 176 iBoxx Euro Corporate Index 582 JPMorgan Global High Yield Index STW 726 iBoxx Euro HY Index 294 EMBI Global 337 JPM EM Corporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl)

make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are

. H means hedged 2013E 2012 MSCI EM 15.0 17.4 EM Local Fl (U) 10.0 8.9 EMFX 10.0 7.5 GSCI 10.0 0.1 MSCI World 10.0 16.0 US HY 7.5 16.2 CEMBI 7.0 16.7 EMBIG 7.0 18.5 JACI 6.5 14.3 EU HY 6.0 25.0 US HY Loans 5.5 9.7 US KG 5.4 9.9 Gold 5.0 6.1 EU KG ■ 1.5 11.2 EM Local Fl