Epstein Secrets

This has been offset by strong output from remaining OPEC countries, including Libya, which has almost returned to pre- crisis levels. However, the Brent futures curve remains backwardated (spot above forwards), which shows the oil market remains tight. We believe this reflects stronger demand, likely

whole has higher than average cash holdings and some 70% of world holdings offer no positive yield after taxes and inflation. See recent issues of Flows & Liquidity. EFTA00630374 What trigger is left to push up risk markets to the next level? — Accepted there is no obvious trigger as there was before EMU Summ

ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t

s and Holly Huffman Key trades and risk: Emerging Market Equity Strategy, Adrian !dowel et al. European Equity Strategy, Mislay Matejka., et at. Flows & Liquidity, Nikos Panigidzoglou et al. 2 EFTA_R1_00470161 EFTA01981559 Jan L Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 11 lAv2014 inflation. We expe

rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500

go, we avoided directional longs in our GMOS model equity portfolio due to elevated positions by spec investors (see Charts A 10 and Al2 in today's Flows & Liquidity). We preferred to focus instead on regional and sectoral trades. We stay with the same strategy focusing our recommendations on EM Asia across regi