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isocioa t0000 5000 0 20 5 'Figure 5: EUR/NOK and Crude oil lob 9.5 - 9.0 - 8,5 - 2 to - 7.5 - 7.0 - 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 —010,04 Brent, Close, USD, its —EUR/NOIC actual. Ito &wore DeoYene Bork Eitiomewg Fount* CP 30 40 50n 60c 70 80c 90 7gi 100 1102. 120 130 Figure 6: Cor
014 'Research Team London Bilel Hafeez James Malcolm Henrik Gullberg George Sarevelos Siddhanh Kapoor Oliver Harvey Nicholas Weng New York Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Dreusio GiacomoIli Guilherme Marone Singapore Sameer Goel Ma'like Sadie!eye Perry Kojodjojo Sydney Adam Boyton Tokyo Teisuke
licy likely to continue to be a compromise over the next couple of meetings, the best Norges Bank can hope for currently is that the correction in Brent crude lower will extend and weigh the NOK down. Near-term, and dependent on crude consolidating above/around $100/barrel, the re-assessment of the
m London Bilal Hafeez James Malcolm Henrik Gullberg George Saravelos Caio Natividade Siddharth Kapoor Oliver Harvey Nicholas Weng New York Alan Ruskin Daniel Brehon Drausio Giacomelli Guilherme Marone Mauro Roca Singapore Sameer Goel Mallika Sachdeva Sydney John Horner Tokyo Taisuke Tanak
hen modelled OPEC production of 32.4 mmb/d matches our calculated call on OPEC (i.e., the volume required from OPEC It o balance demand). Oil at a Brent price of USD45/bbl is below the 2016 national budget breakeven level for all of the ten countries assessed by our EMEA macro team, and also below t
his cycle when the USD eventually turns. We anticipate extremes in the likes of AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CAD at 0.60, 0.50 and 1.45 respectively. Alan Ruskin (1) 212-250-8646 George Saravelos (44) 20-754-79118 Figure 6: USD/JPY and USD/EUR performance depending of US yield curve USD/JPY and USD/EUR pe
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