Epstein Secrets

balances point to deficits of 210 kbd in 2017 and 90 kbd in 2018. We lower our WTI forecasts to average $47 this year and $50.bbl next year. We cut Brent to $50 this year and $52bbl in 2018. We now beleve oil stays in contango by yearend. but see a WTI forward anchor al $45.50 and S5 backwardation by

.950 2.970 3.000 3.050 3,100 3,150 USD-ARS 17.12 16.80 17.50 18.50 19.00 19.50 20.00 USD-PEN 3.26 3.30 3.30 3.35 3.40 3.42 3.45 Emerging Europe EUR-PLN 4.25 4.15 4.10 4.10 4.05 4.05 4.00 EUR-HUF 309 305 305 300 295 295 290 EURCZK 26.13 26.25 26.00 26.00 26.00 26.00 25.

rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500

1 France 1.7 0.1 -0.1 0.1 4.1 Italy 011 -23 -0.5 t -32 t -3.3 Spain 0.4 -1.3 4/ 1 -1.3 -1.7 United Krgdom 01 00 1.8 -12 -1.5 Emerging Europe 41 2.6 2.61 2,4 1.3 Bulgaria 1.7 1.0 1.5 Czech Republic 1.7 -1.1 0.9 -3.1 -0.8 Hungary 1.6 -12 0.5 -3.5 09 Poland 4.3 2.3 1.

make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are

-1.1 3.8 -2.0 :15 Q,Q M.5 -2.5 0.8 0.5 -1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.6 1.9 2.8 2.6 3.2 2.7 1.6 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.5 24 Emerging Europe 4.8 2.5 2.5 0.6 14 1,8 2.4 2.6 3.6 3.0 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 Bulgaria 1.7 0.7 1.5 Czech Republic 1.9 -1.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.3 -1.6 0.0