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balances point to deficits of 210 kbd in 2017 and 90 kbd in 2018. We lower our WTI forecasts to average $47 this year and $50.bbl next year. We cut Brent to $50 this year and $52bbl in 2018. We now beleve oil stays in contango by yearend. but see a WTI forward anchor al $45.50 and S5 backwardation by
nch (DIFC)are done so in accordancewith the requirements of the DFSA conduct of business rules. Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Limited, Frankfurt Branch (BAMLI Frankfurt) distributes this report in Germany and is regulated by BaFin This research report has been prepared and issued by MLPF&S andror on
ll as weaker supply growth, largely in Iraq and Libya. • Recent reports of a peace agreement in Libya between the rebels and the government caused Brent to fall by around 5%. We think a quick and full recovery in production is unlikely and we also think overall production capacity is now lower due t
orations Act 2001. Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by 1.P. Morgan Securities plc. Frankfurt Branch and J.P.Morgan Chase Bank, K.A., Frankfurt Branch which are regulated by the Bundesansudi ftir Finanadienstleistungsaufsicht. Hong Kong: The 1% ownership disclosure as of the previous month end sati
rporates (CEMBI) 10.1% 9.5% 13.1% 21.0% 16.4% 15.4% Quarterly Averages Commodities Current 1204 1301 1302 1303 GSCI Index YID Return' Brent (Sibbl) 110 105 112 105 120 Energy -3.7% Gold (Stoz) 1733 1725 1750 1775 Precious Metals 8.7% Copper IS/metric ton) 7629 8300 8500
meanings given to them in section 76IG of the Corporations Act 2001. Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by J.P. Morgan Securities plc. Frankfurt Branch and J.P.Morgan Chase Bank. N.A.. Frankfurt Branch which are regulated by the Bundesanstalt far Finanzdienstleistungsaufsichi. Deng Kong: The I% owne
make the largest gain with close to 14%, closely followed by base metals and precious metals with 12% and 9% respectively. Our oil strategists see Brent at $120/bbl by year end, driven by higher demand as the global economy should improve sequentially towards the end of 2013. Agriculture prices are
ve the meanings given to them in section 761G of the C ations Act 2001. Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by. Morgan Securities plc. Frankfurt Branch and Chase Bank. Frankfurt Branch which are regulated by the Bundcsanstalt fir Finanzdienstleistungsau rsicht. Hong Kong: The I% ownership disclosu
Entities connected to both Brent and Frankfurt Branch

Malaysia
LOCATION
JPMorgan Chase
ORGANIZATION
Bloomberg L.P.
ORGANIZATION
Philippines
LOCATION
New Zealand
LOCATIONthe Capital Market Authority
ORGANIZATIONthe Karachi Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Indonesia Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONJapan Investment Advisers Association
ORGANIZATIONthe Hong Kong
LOCATIONthe Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau
ORGANIZATIONEngland & Wales
LOCATION
the Ministry of Finance
ORGANIZATIONDubai Branch
ORGANIZATIONJPMSAL
ORGANIZATIONBombay Stock Exchange Limited
ORGANIZATIONCapital Markets Services License
ORGANIZATIONthe Central Bank of Brazil
ORGANIZATIONthe Stock Exchange
ORGANIZATIONthe Stock Exchange of Thailand
ORGANIZATION