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ATE (adjusted for taxes and exch.:Jog energy). YoY NO, GIGS BanKs paecbon &wow dissent &mit elocintlxvg finance to Henrik Gullberg, London, 194/ Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 13 EFTA00610288 9 January 2014 FX Blueprint: Thin end of the wedge Theme #7: Trend no bitter end In 2007 we replicated a RBA study
deas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and New Zealand: This
y Research, Germany Steve Pollard Regional Head Americas Research Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Securities Inc. Deutsche Bank Place Grog° Gallusstra8e 10-14 Filial° Hongkong 2-11-1 Nagatacho Level 16 60272 Frankfurt am Main International Commerce Centre, Senna Park Tower C
Commodity Prices Lower 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 0.85 0.95 1.05 1.15 1.25 1.35 1.45 1.55 1.65 45( 40( 35( 30( 25( 20( — USD/CAD (Ihs, inverted) — BoC Non-energy Commodity Price Index irhs 15( Soutar Akan» &Mc &bombers Fran. UP Page 8 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA00610283
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 09 10 11 12 to return to lOy ave of current account (FEER) PPP adjusted for productivity and terms of trade (BEER Source: Deutsche Bank Page 10 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464500 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives Figure 21: Almost All FX Weaken When Dollar Strengthens. le
eas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and
sider this report in deciding to trade on a proprietary basis. Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the investor's home jurisdiction. In the U.S. this report is approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a member of th
algebra. EM graphs available upon request. Page 14 Deutsche Bank AG/London EFTA01464509 28 February 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives Figure 6: USD/CAD is cheap vs. BEER FV Figure 7: AUD/USD is quite expensive vs. BEER FV Source: DB FX Research Source: DB FX Research Figure 8: NZD/USD is very exp
3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe
0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No
y unchanged, with EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD seen at 0.90, 128 and 1.27 respectively. We anticipate extremes in the likes of AUD/USD, NZD/USD and USD/CAD at 0.62, 0.53 I nd 1.40 respectively. In macro terms, how 2016 shapes up will be heavily influenced by whether the main macro driver is the Fed or
there are then two approaches. After the Canadian employment data we edged into the lower half of the last 4 months range- a range that we Page 18 Deutsche Sank AG/London CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0089892 CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00236076 EFTA01387382
t. Currently the terminal rate spread is close to zero, having oscillated between -25bps (Fed rate c BoC rate) to +25bps (Fed rates.> Boc rates) as USD/CAD marked out a range of 1.21 - 1.29. 25bps on the 'terminal rate' spread is worth 4 big figures on USD/CAD. Besides the terminal rate, in terms of ne
eas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and
CLP PLN SEK GBP KRW JPY INR ZAR ARS EFTA01464349 30 July 2013 Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Financial Transaction Tax Figure 6: USD/CAD is cheap vs. BEER FV Figure 7: AUD/USD is quite expensive vs. BEER FV 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 CAD BEER Fair Value Spot 80 82 84 86 88 90 9
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