Epstein Secrets

eas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at http://gm.db.com. 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and

l Head of Research Marcel Cassard Global Head CB&S Research Asia-Pacific Fergus Lynch Regional Head International Locations Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank Place Australia Tel: D t iei n n London EC2N 2EQ United Kin dom Tel: Deutsche Bank AG 1rma Tel: .1111111. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. United S

rector Equity Research North America Steve Pollard Regional Head Global Disclaimer The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Deutsche Bank AG or one of its affiliates (collectively "Deutsche Bank"). The information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from public source

ider this report in deciding to trade on a proprietary basis. Unless governing law provides otherwise, all transactions should be executed through the Deutsche Bank entity in the investor's home jurisdiction. In the U.S. this report is approved and/or distributed by Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a member of th

licy likely to continue to be a compromise over the next couple of meetings, the best Norges Bank can hope for currently is that the correction in Brent crude lower will extend and weigh the NOK down. Near-term, and dependent on crude consolidating above/around $100/barrel, the re-assessment of the

ATE (adjusted for taxes and exch.:Jog energy). YoY NO, GIGS BanKs paecbon &wow dissent &mit elocintlxvg finance to Henrik Gullberg, London, 194/ Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 13 EFTA00610288 9 January 2014 FX Blueprint: Thin end of the wedge Theme #7: Trend no bitter end In 2007 we replicated a RBA study

deas Deutsche Bank equity research analysts sometimes have shorter-term trade ideas (known as SOLAR ideas) that are consistent or inconsistent with Deutsche Bank's existing longer term ratings. These trade ideas can be found at the SOLAR link at 3. Country-Specific Disclosures Australia and New Zealand: This

y Research, Germany Steve Pollard Regional Head Americas Research Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Bank AG Deutsche Securities Inc. Deutsche Bank Place Grog° Gallusstra8e 10-14 Filial° Hongkong 2-11-1 Nagatacho Level 16 60272 Frankfurt am Main International Commerce Centre, Senna Park Tower C

isocioa t0000 5000 0 20 5 'Figure 5: EUR/NOK and Crude oil lob 9.5 - 9.0 - 8,5 - 2 to - 7.5 - 7.0 - 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 —010,04 Brent, Close, USD, its —EUR/NOIC actual. Ito &wore DeoYene Bork Eitiomewg Fount* CP 30 40 50n 60c 70 80c 90 7gi 100 1102. 120 130 Figure 6: Cor

1 Sub Index I Rebalancing ■ Rebalanced to equal weights every year on the option expiry of December contract v Sub Index II i Sub Index III Deutsche Bank NI EFTA_R1_02151768 EFTA02716194 Deutsche Bank a DB Brent Short Volatility II Performance Analysis Index Returns Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11

on to Perform. Deutsche Bank El EFTA_R1_02151765 EFTA02716191 DB Brent Short Volatility II Index Summary ■ Rationale: Historically, on average Brent implied volatility has been higher than subsequent realized volatility. In other words, historically implied volatility has priced at a premium. Thi

ract ■ Dynamic delta hedging on the options i Short position in 3-month straddles on the respective Roll Dates + Hedge by buying delta amount of Brent futures 1 Sub Index I Rebalancing ■ Rebalanced to equal weights every year on the option expiry of December contract v Sub Index II i Sub In

it is based on listed option prices ■ Market Neutral: The strategy is constructed using a basket of options and implies no directional exposure to Brent front month prices ■ Rebalancing: The index is rebalanced every year to provide equal exposure to the 3 sub-indices once a year. The rebalance date

entity to the ultimate beneficial owner (i/not me same persona To the best of your knowledge, h the entity party to a non-banking relationship with Deutsche Bank (e.g. external legal counsel, client r *nal source, supplier of goods or services)? yes U — No Fa Describe Nabre of Entity's Primary Business and

been convicted of a seminal offense' @Yes 0 No F. To the best of your knovAedge, has the customer ever been involved In any past 'Usher, against Deutuhe Bank AG or any of Its subsidiaries or is the customer threatening litigation against Deutsche Bank AG or any of ha subsidiaries? (77 Yes, provide details be

iaries? (77 Yes, provide details below and contact pearfrigt Ores Web fiatemfirrt7)or the Reprdatwy Control Prop and natty Compiacer in ) G. Does Brent have financial interactions the or related party any or other association / within by the Pike Foreign Assets Control O Yes n No countrie

E0 New York, NY 10005 United Ki Nom United States of Amenca Tel: Tel: Global Disclaimer The eformarom and oproOns In this wean were papered by Deutsche Bank AG Orox o/ assume kollecilecrof "Destsdle Ba^.t1 The intormoton /wren a tel ha be reliableend Ms bean obtained trot, pubic 14404. b0.04/0 10 be rehab* (44

a tented. S rogapOna Brent 'One Raffia Crow sib 03 &bah Tome Secopore 04 9583, nth fA23 BOOS. era recipients in SoDapare of the report are to contact Deutsche Bank AA Swoops* Drench of Deutsche Securities Asia Canted Stroepse /bench in reepea o ny masers 0440 //OM or In connection vath. Pro mow. there the raPCS Is

by North* Secures Korea CO The report e claCebutod m Srnotion be Deo:sent Bank AG. Singteptiro Branch of Deutsche Sectribte Asia tented. S rogapOna Brent 'One Raffia Crow sib 03 &bah Tome Secopore 04 9583, nth fA23 BOOS. era recipients in SoDapare of the report are to contact Deutsche Bank AA Swoops*

3.6 -3.3 -2.5 -3.4 -9.7 -7.6 -3.2 62.0 120.0 175.0 250.0 4.6 -0.3 -0.9 CA bal., % GDP Source: National authorities, Deutsche Bank Research 0.2 Deutsche Bank AG/London Page 41 EFTA01476081 8 December 2015 World Outlook 2016: Managing with less liquidity Bond Market Strategy: Peak policy divergence IIThe

0.25% 5.0% 2.5% 3% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 2.59 3.37 3.65 9.33 2.25 Figure 7: Our intrinsic valuation model S&P 500 Capi tal ized EPS Valuat ion Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS EFTA01476121 "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS No

hen modelled OPEC production of 32.4 mmb/d matches our calculated call on OPEC (i.e., the volume required from OPEC It o balance demand). Oil at a Brent price of USD45/bbl is below the 2016 national budget breakeven level for all of the ten countries assessed by our EMEA macro team, and also below t

el. We set DPS equals to EPS and assume long-term growth is only inflation. Figure 42: Capitalize steady state earnings at the real cost of equity Deutsche Bank's 2015E S&P 500 EPS DB's "normal 2015E" S&P 500 EPS "Normal 2015E" EPS / 2015E EPS Accounting quality adjustment to pro forma EPS Normal 2015E S&P

5 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $80 Figure 4: Brent now expected to settle at —$50 at 2016 EFTA01476308 end and stay under $60 even by 2018 end Brent futures prices over time $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $80 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Dec 2017 Dec

ime $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $80 Figure 4: Brent now expected to settle at —$50 at 2016 EFTA01476308 end and stay under $60 even by 2018 end Brent futures prices over time $40 $45 $50 $55 $

s of March 31, 2014 (unless noted otherwise) Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management For Internal Use Only 2 EFTA01470764 Wealth Management One of Deutsche Bank's five core businesses Deutsche Bank Private & Business Clients Corporate Banking & Securities Asset & Wealth Management Global Transaction

a Delta One note or Total Return Swap Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Research European Oil Sensitivity Basket Outperforms market when Brent rises (1) For additional detail on basket holdings please see Appendix Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management For Internal Use Only 22 EFTA0147079

s in Asia with U.S. costs of 13 alb vs 39 cab in Asia. We expect this cost advantage for U.S. producers to continue through the rest of the decade. Deutsche Bank's Commodities team forecasts oil prices will average $53.40/bbl (Brent) in 2017, $54.50/bbl in 2018, $56/bbl in 2019 while U.S. natural gas prices wi

based producers in Europe and Asia. Based on their respective fuel value, oil and gas are balanced at a ratio of roughly of 8x. After averaging 8x (Brent oil vs. U.S. natural gas) from 2000-'06, the oil-to-gas ratio widened to an average of 30x from 2011-'14 on higher oil prices and lower natural gas

. Demand rose by a blistering 2.7m b/d last year, according to the International Energy Agency, and is set to grow by another 1.7m b/d this year by Deutsche Bank's reckoning. Many other producers are already running at full capacity; OPEC has its hands on the only spare oil. If Libya's oil stopped flowing imp

affairs and security policy of the European Union. EFTA00586501 14 The Economist Oil and the Arab world's unrest Feb 24th 2011 -- A month ago Brent crude oil stood at around $96 a barrel and Hosni Mubarak was ensconced as Egypt's ruler. Now he is gone, overthrown by a display of people power th