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Source: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Economic Analysis, As of 12/30/11 Note: Debt Service is Debt payments as % of disposed° personal income Source: Federal Reserve Bank, ECB 4 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049746 EFTA02696368 GIO: Approach to Absolute Return Investing We are asset class agnostic TOP OPPORTUNISTIC INVE
its structured products or options exposures. Structured products and options are not insured by the Federal Deposit insurance Corporation (FDIC). the Federal Reserve Board, or any other governmental agency. In discussion of options and other strategies, results and risks are based solely on hypothetical examples cite
tios are at Historic Lows Jan-10 Apr-10 Source: Bloomberg, As of 1/4/12 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 9 Utilities, Healthcare, Telecom I Financials, Materials, Industrials Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049751 EFTA02696373 Tactical Opportunities Tactical Trading Opportunities <N
<<Presentation Title>>
see also slide 21). Our sector stance in the US Sectors us Consumer Discretionary v Consumer Staples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials T Materials Telecom ee; e 1 ulvl vey viaya Utilities Source: UBS CIO, as of 28 June 2012 Note: Past performance is not an indication of future returns. 14
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024149 →ions supports a gradual rise in Treasury yields. ¢ However, over a six-month horizon, the extension of Operation Twist (OT) until the end of 2012 by the Federal Reserve (Fed) will limit the upside potential in yields. As of late, the probability of even more stimulus in the form of quantitative easing from the Fed ha
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024159 →taples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials 7 aterials Telecom Utilities Vielvi Viel ule; ulale Source
ly - the September report exaggerated the pace of improvement. Core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation stays slightly below or close to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. UBS forecasts real GDP growth of 2.0% in 3Q 2012 (consensus: 1.8%) and 1.6% in 4Q 2012 (consensus: 1.9%). The Fed has added considerabl
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025256 →Entities connected to both Federal Reserve and Materials

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Donald Trump
PERSON
Barack Obama
PERSON
Marc Rich
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U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
United Kingdom
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Hong Kong
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UBS AG
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Eric Holder
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Sydney
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North America
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Paul Volcker
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Belgium
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Malaysia
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Norway
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Hungary
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Eurozone
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Luxembourg
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Michael Bloomberg
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