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preferred cyclical sectors. We also like Energy. e We are cautious on Materials, where we expect margin pressure to continue, as well as Telecom and Utilities, due to high valuations. Strategic (1 to 2 years) °¢ We like medium-sized US companies, which should benefit from robust earnings growth in the lon
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024149 →see also slide 21). Our sector stance in the US Sectors us Consumer Discretionary v Consumer Staples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials T Materials Telecom ee; e 1 ulvl vey viaya Utilities Source: UBS CIO, as of 28 June 2012 Note: Past performance is not an indication of future returns. 14
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024149 →ors —2011 Worst Performance Sectors Payout Ratios are at Historic Lows Jan-10 Apr-10 Source: Bloomberg, As of 1/4/12 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 9 Utilities, Healthcare, Telecom I Financials, Materials, Industrials Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049751 EFTA02696373 Tactical Op
tios are at Historic Lows Jan-10 Apr-10 Source: Bloomberg, As of 1/4/12 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 9 Utilities, Healthcare, Telecom I Financials, Materials, Industrials Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 J.P.Morgan EFTA_R1_02049751 EFTA02696373 Tactical Opportunities Tactical Trading Opportunities <N
Quantitative Analysis
ould be able to retain half of the benefit ($8) and the remainder would be passed on to customers or competed away. For instance, a lasting impact to Utilities’ profits is unlikely, as the benefit would be passed on via regulated pricing. Repatriation: Buybacks could boost EPS by 3% Both Trump and the Blue
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023069 →r EPS estimated impact from 20% rate 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% Financials Discretionary Telecom Staples Industrials Health Care Energy Materials Info Tech Real Estate Source: BofAML US Equity & Quant Strategy, FactSet, S&P While the effective tax rate of the S&P 500 is generally about 28% (cu
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023073 →taples Energy Financials Healthcare ndustrials 7 aterials Telecom Utilities Vielvi Viel ule; ulale Source
arnings growth. Our sector stance in the US Sectors Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials T Healthcare ndustrials Telecom Utilities aterials Viclelulsalel vy) vial ws Source: UBS Note: Past performance is not an indication of future returns. For further information please con
Page: HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025261 →Entities connected to both Utilities and Materials

Jeffrey Epstein
PERSON
Sydney
LOCATION
Donald Trump
PERSON
Health Care
ORGANIZATION
U.S. Treasury
ORGANIZATION
Barack Obama
PERSON
Marc Rich
PERSON
United Kingdom
LOCATION
Malaysia
LOCATION
North America
LOCATIONTelecommunication Services
ORGANIZATION
Federal Reserve
ORGANIZATION
Norway
LOCATIONThe Monetary Authority of Singapore
ORGANIZATIONthe Dubai Financial Services Authority
ORGANIZATION
Luxembourg
LOCATION
Michael Bloomberg
PERSON
Eric Holder
PERSON
Hungary
LOCATION
Belgium
LOCATION